Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 6/18/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres

Date: Friday, June 18, 2021

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+190) San Diego (-256)

Tony Santillan and the Cincinnati Reds (35-31, 3rd in NL Central) head to Petco Park on Friday where they'll meet the San Diego Padres (38-32, 3rd in NL West). The moneyline on this game has the Reds priced at +190 and the Padres are at -256. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Tony Santillan and Chris Paddack.

Cincinnati is slugging .426 and have been called out on strikes 572 times, while taking a walk on 226 occasions. They have 319 runs batted in in addition to 555 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average comes in at .248. The Reds have hit 115 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 91 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 333 runs and have an OBP of .328. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are recording 5.1 runs per contest, which ranks them 4th in MLB.

The Reds have an ERA of 4.68 on the season (23rd in the league), and they have struck out 654 hitters. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.36 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.35. Reds pitchers have conceded 79 long balls and also 333 total runs (24th in baseball). They have walked 277 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.24 as a team for the season.

The Reds relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 64.0% and stepped onto the hill in 50 save situations. The relievers have inherited 115 base runners on the year and 42.6% of them ended up scoring. Reds pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 77 times and also have had 67 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 238 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have racked up 24 holds so far this season (28th in MLB). They have recorded 16 saves this year and have missed out on 9 out of their 25 save opportunities.

The Cincinnati Reds have 1,767 putouts this season, in addition to 575 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which is 18th in professional baseball, and they have turned 412 double plays. The Reds have converted 69.2% of baseballs in play into outs in their 5,301 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 20th in professional baseball.

Santillan has taken the mound for 4 innings and has earned 5 K's in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 1.93 (1 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.929. He has surrendered 5 base knocks (9.6 hits per nine innings) and has 4 walks. Santillan (0-0 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 4.88 while he has gone up against 25 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Padres have a SLG% of .375 and they average 4.43 runs per game (14th in the league). They have notched 91 two-baggers, while taking a walk 268 times as well as earning 310 runs. San Diego has tallied 73 HRs on the campaign as well as 292 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 585 occasions (20th in baseball) and have tallied 536 hits. The San Diego Padres have recorded an OBP of .316 and a batting average of .232 for the season.

The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 249 runs for the year while having an ERA of 3.13 (217 earned runs conceded). They have given up 80 homers and they allow 3.59 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball). The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.130 in addition to having a FIP of 3.76 as a team on the campaign. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.34 (711 strikeouts vs 213 bases on balls). They rank 7th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 492.

With 70 save situations, the Padres have recorded 37 holds and 10 blown saves. San Diego has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 32 save opportunities and they have walked away with 22 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 64 times in high leverage situations in addition to 44 occasions with runners on base. San Diego relievers have an inherited score percentage of 25.9% out of their 58 inherited base runners. They sit at 7th in MLB holding a save rate of 68.8%, and they have dispatched 254 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The San Diego Padres have twisted 63 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (24th in the majors). The Padres have 588 assists, 45 errors and have a total of 1,873 putouts this season. In 5,619 innings played, the Padres have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (7th in pro baseball).

Paddack (16-17 career record) has a 3.83 ERA and has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.79 and he has faced 1,055 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 110 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.076 and having a FIP of 4.2. So far in his MLB career, Paddack has allowed 222 hits while he has accumulated 268 K's in 258 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-256)

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