Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 4/25/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Sunday, April 25, 2021

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Busch Stadium is the venue where Jack Flaherty and the St. Louis Cardinals (8-10, 5th in NL Central) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (9-9, 3rd in NL Central) on Sunday.

The Reds have tallied 33 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 31 baseballs out of the park. Cincinnati is slugging .476 and have been called out on strikes 166 times, while taking a walk on 62 occasions. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 6.2 runs/g, which puts them at 1st in MLB. They have accounted for 106 runs batted in in addition to 163 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .263. They have earned 111 runs while having a team OBP of .339.

The Reds have a team ERA of 4.72 on the season (26th in the league), and the staff has struck out 183 hitters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.35 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.36. Reds pitchers have surrendered 28 home runs and 94 runs (28th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 78 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.69 as a team for the year.

The Reds relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 42.9% and has entered the game in 12 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 31 base runners for the year and 54.8% of those runners crossed home plate. Reds bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 22 times in addition to having 20 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 66 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The bullpen have earned 5 holds for the season (26th in the league). They have accumulated 3 saves on the year and have blown 4 of their 7 chances to get a save.

The Cincinnati Reds have a total of 486 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 152 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .983 which ranks 16th in pro baseball, and have a total of 108 double plays. The Reds have transformed 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 1,458 innings on the field, ranking them 15th in baseball.

Castillo has taken the hill for 539 innings and has accumulated 594 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Castillo (33-34 career mark) has a FIP of 3.80 while he has gone up against 2,230 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.71 (222 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.186. He has surrendered 449 hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 190 free passes.

St. Louis is sitting with 25 home runs so far this season to go along with 76 RBIs. They have hit 20 two-baggers, while walking 62 times and putting up 85 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals have recorded a team on-base percentage of .306 in addition to a team batting average of .225 for the season. The Cardinals have a team slugging % of .395 and they earn 4.72 runs per contest (11th in baseball). They have struck out on 168 instances (16th in the league) and have recorded 133 base hits.

The St. Louis pitching staff have yielded 87 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.67 (81 earned runs surrendered). They have yielded 16 homers and they concede 5.02 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league). The Cardinals hold a team WHIP of 1.417 with a FIP of 4.29 as a pitching staff so far this season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 1.92 (152 strikeouts against 79 free passes). They rank 17th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 142.

St. Louis relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.9% out of 27 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 10 times in high leverage situations and on 14 occasions with runners on. With 10 save situations, the Cardinals have earned 6 holds and also 1 blown save. They rank 6th in MLB with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have sent 62 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. St. Louis has had relievers step onto the mound in 4 save opportunities and they have recorded 3 saves.

In their 1,404 innings played, the Cardinals hold a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (20th in pro baseball). The St. Louis Cardinals have twisted 12 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .981 (22nd in professional baseball). The Cardinals have accrued 144 assists, 12 errors and have notched a total of 468 putouts so far this season.

Thus far in his career, Flaherty has allowed 315 base knocks and he has 503 K's in 430 innings pitched. Flaherty (26-22 record in his career) has a 3.39 earned run average and has given up 6.6 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 162 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.076 and having a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.40 and he has gone up against 1,741 opposing batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Louis

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