Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 6/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
Date: Thursday, June 3, 2021
Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO
TV: Bally Sports Midwest
Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+100) St. Louis (-120)
Luis Castillo and the Cincinnati Reds (24-29, 4th in NL Central) head to Busch Stadium on Thursday where they'll take on the St. Louis Cardinals (31-24, 2nd in NL Central). The Reds open this game at +100 while the Cardinals are priced at -120. The over/under opens at 7. The expected starting pitchers are Luis Castillo and Adam Wainwright.
Cincinnati is slugging .423 and have struck out 462 times, while being walked on 175 occasions. They have 246 runs batted in as well as 445 base knocks on the year, while their team batting average is .247. The Reds have hit 85 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 74 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 259 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .323. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.9 runs per game, which has them sitting at 7th in the league.
The Reds have compiled a team ERA of 5.04 this year (30th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 511 hitters. They have walked 228 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.48 as a squad so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.24 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.39. Reds pitchers have given up 70 home runs in addition to 289 runs (28th in baseball).
Reds relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 64 times and also have had 48 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen are sitting with 13 holds so far this year (29th in baseball). The Reds relievers have accumulated a save rate of 58.8% and has come into the game in 30 save situations. They have compiled 10 saves on the season and have blown 7 of their 17 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 92 runners this season with 43.5% of those players crossed home plate. The Reds have dispatched 193 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.
The Reds have turned 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 4,239 innings, which has them sitting at 20th in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for 1,413 putouts this season, as well as 469 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which ranks 22nd in baseball, and they have twisted 332 double plays.
Castillo has taken the hill for 572 innings and is sitting with 626 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Castillo (33-41 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.86 while going up against 2,389 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.95 (251 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.224. He has given up 493 base hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 207 free passes.
St. Louis has 65 long balls on the year and 222 runs batted in. They have recorded 87 two-baggers, while getting a free base 165 times and notching 236 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals have a team on-base percentage of .303 as well as a team batting average of .231 over the course of the season. The Cardinals have a team SLG% of .393 and they tally 4.29 runs per contest (16th in baseball). They have struck out on 462 occasions (23rd in the league) and have 420 hits.
The Cardinals have a WHIP of 1.346 with a FIP of 4.10 as a team on the campaign. They rank 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 404. The St. Louis pitching staff have yielded 235 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 3.92 (210 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 1.81 (444 strikeouts vs 245 walks). They have given up 39 long balls and they allow 4.39 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league).
Sitting with 58 save situations, the Cardinals have 31 holds and also 5 blown saves. St. Louis has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 25 save opportunities and they have earned 20 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 51 times in high leverage situations in addition to 62 occasions with base runners. St. Louis relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 46.0% out of 113 inherited runners. They are ranked 2nd in baseball with a save rate of 80.0%, and they have sent 183 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.
The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 42 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .981 (27th in the majors). The Cardinals have 474 assists, 37 errors and are sitting with 1,446 putouts for the year. In 4,338 innings on the field, the Cardinals have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (9th in MLB).
Wainwright (170-102 career record) holds a 3.40 earned run average and has surrendered 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.09 and he has gone up against 9,252 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed a total of 843 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.225 and a FIP of 3.4. In his pro baseball career, Wainwright has given up 2,120 base knocks and he has 1,887 punch outs in 2,229 frames.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Louis (-120)
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