Cleveland Indians vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cleveland Indians vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, September 4, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+155) Boston (-200)

Tanner Houck and the Boston Red Sox (77-59, 3rd in AL East) host the Cleveland Indians (67-64, 2nd in AL Central) at Fenway Park on Saturday. The Indians open this contest at +155 while the Red Sox are coming in at -200. The O/U has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Eli Morgan and Tanner Houck.

The Indians have hit 198 doubles as a team and have hit 170 baseballs out of the park. Cleveland is slugging .411 and have been called out on strikes 1,104 times, while drawing a walk on 379 occasions. As a team, the Cleveland Indians are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 16th in MLB. They have 555 runs batted in in addition to 1,020 hits this season, and their batting average is .237. They have notched a total of 581 runs and hold an OBP of .305.

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The Indians hold a team earned run average of 4.34 for the season (17th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,160 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.65 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.28. Indians pitchers have surrendered 169 home runs and also 589 runs in total (15th in the league). They have walked 438 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.34 as a team over the course of the season.

The Indians relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 66.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 110 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 168 base runners this season with 35.7% of those runners ended up scoring. Indians pitchers have entered the game with players on base 119 times in addition to having 145 appearances in high leverage situations. The Indians have sent 436 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers are sitting with 56 holds this year (23rd in the league). They have accumulated 34 saves so far this year and have missed out on 17 of their 51 chances to get a save.

The Indians have converted 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 10,245 innings on the field, which ranks them 9th in pro baseball. The Cleveland Indians have a total of 3,415 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,139 assists and 71 errors. Their fielding rate is at .985 which puts them in 16th in pro baseball, and have a total of 913 double plays.

Morgan has taken the hill for 61 frames and is sitting with 61 K's thus far in his career. His earned run average is 5.98 (41 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.297. He has allowed 65 hits (9.5 hits per nine innings) and has 15 free passes. Morgan (2-6 record in his career) holds a FIP of 5.22 and he has gone up against 265 opposing batters in the major leagues.

Boston has accounted for 178 home runs this year to go along with 639 runs batted in. They have hit 275 two-baggers, while taking a walk 411 times as well as notching 678 runs. The Boston Red Sox have accumulated an OBP of .325 and a batting average of .259 on the year. The Red Sox hold a team slugging % of .444 and they are scoring 5.02 runs per outing (5th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,147 instances (18th in the league) and have totaled 1,179 hits.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.386 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.99 as a team this season. They come in at 28th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,172. The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 622 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 4.31 (564 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.73 (1,254 strikeouts against 459 free passes). They have given up 146 HR's and they yield 4.76 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league).

Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.7% out of their 218 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 153 times in high leverage situations and also on 140 occasions with base runners. With 145 save situations, the Red Sox have 79 holds and also 20 blown saves. They are currently ranked 6th in the league with a save percentage of 67.2%, and they have dispatched 452 relievers to the hill on the year. Boston has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 61 save chances and they have tallied 41 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have twisted 119 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in MLB). The Red Sox have racked up 1,181 assists, 92 errors and have earned a total of 3,532 putouts for the year. In their 10,596 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have earned a efficiency on defense of 65.9% (30th in the majors).

Houck (3-3 career record) has earned a 2.77 earned run average while giving up 7.0 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.62 and he has faced 252 batters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 19 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.119 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.9. In his pro baseball career, Houck has surrendered 48 hits and he has 76 punch outs in 61 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-200)

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