Cleveland Indians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 4/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Cleveland Indians vs Detroit Tigers
Date: Saturday, April 3, 2021
Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI
TV: Bally Sports Detroit
Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-172) Detroit (+115)
Zach Plesac and the Cleveland Indians (35-25, 3rd in AL Central last year) travel to Comerica Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Detroit Tigers (23-35, 5th in AL Central last season). The odds on this game have the Indians coming in at -172 and the Tigers are at +115. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Zach Plesac and Julio Teheran.
The Indians hit 96 two-baggers as a team last year and knocked 59 balls out of the stadium. Cleveland had a slugging % of .372 and struck out 517 times, while taking a walk on 239 occasions. As a unit, the Cleveland Indians notched 4.1 runs per game, which had them sitting at 25th in baseball. They accrued 234 runs batted in as well as 446 base knocks in the prior season, and their batting average finished at .228. They had a total of 248 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .317.
Indians pitchers surrendered 68 home runs and 209 runs in total (30th in MLB). Their pitching staff walked 157 opposing players and their FIP came in at 3.55 as a unit last season. They had a K/BB ratio of 3.96 and the pitching staff held a WHIP of 1.11. The Indians finished with a team earned run average of 3.29 over the course of last season (2nd in the league), and they rung up 621 batters. The Indians sent forth 181 relievers to the hill for the prior year. The relief pitchers inherited 60 runners for the prior year with 26.7% of them earned a run for their team. They compiled 20 saves during the previous year and did not convert 8 of 28 save opportunities. The Indians relievers recorded a save rate of 71.4% and came into the game in 63 save situations. The bullpen recorded 35 holds last year (8th in the league). Indians bullpen pitchers entered the game with runners on in 38 games and also 72 games with high leverage.
Zach Plesac conceded 38 base knocks in 55.1 innings pitched last season. His ERA was 2.28 and he fanned 57 hitters. He gave up 14 ER's last season with a K/BB ratio of 9.5. He allowed 6.2 hits per 9 innings and his WHIP was at 0.795. Plesac was the owner of a FIP of 3.39 and he earned an ERA+ of 201. Plesac (12-8 career mark) has a FIP of 4.44 while he has faced 681 opposing hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 140 hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has 46 walks. His ERA is 3.32 (63 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.088. Plesac has taken the ball for 171 innings and has accounted for 145 punch outs during his pro baseball career.
The Tigers notched 78 doubles, while taking a walk 147 times as well as putting up 249 runs. The Tigers held a team slugging percentage of .397 and they were earning 4.29 runs per contest (22nd in the league). Detroit recorded 62 home runs for the previous season and 242 runs batted in. They were called out on strikes on 567 instances (6th in MLB) and tallied 463 base hits. The Detroit Tigers held an OBP of .303 and a batting average of .245 for the previous season.
The Tigers had a WHIP of 1.429 in addition to having a FIP of 5.17 as a pitching staff over the course of the prior season. They ranked 6th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 511. The Detroit pitching staff relinquished 318 runs over the course of last year while holding an ERA of 5.63 (308 earned runs given up). They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.31 (444 strikeouts against 192 bases on balls). They conceded 91 long balls and they conceded 5.82 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). Finishing with 19 chances for a save, the Tigers earned 27 holds and 8 blown saves. Detroit had relief pitchers enter the contest in 46 save situations and they recorded 11 saves. Their bullpen pitchers stepped onto the hill in 58 games with high leverage in addition to 55 outings with runners on. Detroit bullpen pitchers had an inherited score percentage of 29.0% out of their 91 inherited base runners. They ranked 19th in the league holding a save rate of 57.9%, and they sent 218 relief pitchers onto the diamond last season.
Teheran gave up 39 total hits while he conceded 35 earned runs (10.05 ERA). His WHIP was 1.76 and he was the owner of a FIP of 8.62 over the course of last year. He took the hill for 31.1 innings last year while allowing 11.2 H/9 (hits per 9 innings). Teheran earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.3 with 20 total punch outs and an ERA+ of 47. In his MLB career, Teheran has given up 1,228 base hits while he has tallied 1,204 punch outs in 1,391 frames. He has given up a total of 589 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.223 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.54 and he has gone up against 5,809 hitters in his pro baseball career. Teheran (77-77 career mark) has a 3.81 earned run average while giving up 7.9 hits per nine innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Detroit (+115)
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Additional Resources:
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