Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 5/7/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Friday, May 7, 2021

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Colorado (+189) St. Louis (-207)

Jack Flaherty and the St. Louis Cardinals (18-13, 1st in NL Central) host the Colorado Rockies (12-19, 5th in NL West) at Busch Stadium on Friday. The Cardinals open this contest at -207 while the Rockies are coming in at +189. The O/U has been set at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Austin Gomber and Jack Flaherty.

The Rockies have recorded 44 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 36 balls out of the stadium. Colorado has a slugging % of .412 and have struck out 270 times, while drawing a walk on 87 occasions. As a unit, the Colorado Rockies are scoring 4.9 runs per contest, which is 6th in MLB. They have 145 RBI's in addition to 254 hits on the year, and their average at the plate is at .247. They are sitting with 151 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .308.

Rockies pitchers have allowed 38 home runs and also 167 total runs (30th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 127 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.68 as a team so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.90 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.51. The Rockies have a team ERA of 5.16 on the year (30th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 241 hitters.

The Rockies have sent 106 relievers to the mound on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 46 runners for the season with 34.8% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have accumulated 4 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 5 out of their 9 chances to save the game. The Rockies relief pitchers have a save percentage of 44.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 16 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 7 holds this year (28th in the league). Rockies bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 27 times in addition to having 28 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rockies have converted 67.5% of balls in play into outs out of 2,385 innings, which has them ranked 28th in baseball. The Colorado Rockies have notched a total of 795 putouts this year, in addition to 291 assists and 21 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .981 which puts them in 22nd in pro baseball, and they have turned 223 double plays.

Gomber has taken the hill for 133 innings and has 121 strikeouts thus far in his career. His ERA is 4.20 (62 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.421. He has surrendered 122 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 67 free passes. Gomber (9-6 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.06 while he has faced 581 batters in the major leagues.

The St. Louis Cardinals have an on-base percentage of .306 in addition to a batting average of .234 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 261 occasions (17th in MLB) and have 237 base hits. St. Louis has recorded 40 home runs for the season as well as 133 runs batted in. The Cardinals hold a slugging % of .407 and they have an average of 4.65 runs per game (11th in the league). They have 44 doubles, while getting a free base 92 times and putting up 144 runs.

The St. Louis pitching staff have allowed 126 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 3.97 (119 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 24 long balls and they give up 4.20 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Cardinals have a WHIP of 1.263 and have a FIP of 3.98 as a staff for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.07 (252 strikeouts against 122 bases on balls). They rank 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 219.

With 31 save situations, the Cardinals have 18 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. St. Louis has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 12 save opportunities and they have tallied 10 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 20 times in high leverage situations and also on 27 occasions with base runners. St. Louis relievers have an inherited score rate of 34.7% out of their 49 inherited runners. They sit at 6th in MLB with a save percentage of 83.3%, and they have sent 102 relievers to the mound this year.

In their 2,430 innings on the field, the Cardinals have a defensive efficiency of 71.9% (5th in the majors). The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 25 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (11th in baseball). The Cardinals have recorded 259 assists, 16 errors and are sitting with 810 putouts this year.

Flaherty (28-22 career record) has earned a 3.37 earned run average while giving up 6.6 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.45 and he has gone up against 1,790 opposing hitters thus far in his career. He has conceded 166 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.069 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. So far in his pro baseball career, Flaherty has conceded 324 hits and he has 518 punch outs in 443 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Colorado (+189)

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