Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Tuesday, May 4, 2021
Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+136) Boston (-147)
Nick Pivetta and the Boston Red Sox (17-12, 1st in AL East) play the Detroit Tigers (8-21, 5th in AL Central) at Fenway Park on Tuesday. The Tigers open this matchup at +136 while the Red Sox are priced at -147. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Michael Fulmer and Nick Pivetta.
As a team, the Detroit Tigers are putting up 2.7 runs per game, which puts them at 30th in the league. They have 79 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .255. The Tigers have accounted for 27 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 30 balls out of the stadium. They have 79 RBI's in addition to 177 base knocks on the season, while their team batting average comes in at .195. Detroit has a slugging percentage of .338 and have struck out 305 times, while being walked on 70 occasions.
The Tigers hold a team ERA of 5.05 on the season (29th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 213 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.94 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.40. Tigers pitchers have conceded 38 long balls in addition to 141 total runs (24th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 110 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.85 as a squad on the year.
The Tigers have dispatched 83 relievers to the hill on the year. The relievers have inherited 39 base runners this season and 41.0% of them ended up scoring. They have compiled 5 saves this season and have blown 2 out of their 7 save chances. The Tigers relief pitchers have a save rate of 71.4% and stepped onto the hill in 18 save situations. The bullpen have recorded 10 holds this year (23rd in baseball). Tigers relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 23 times in addition to having 13 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Tigers have converted 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,184 innings, which has them sitting 13th in the majors. The Detroit Tigers have accounted for 728 putouts thus far, as well as 249 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .981 which ranks 26th in professional baseball, and have 208 double plays.
Fulmer has taken the hill for 504 innings and has racked up 396 punch outs in his career. Fulmer (25-34 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.11 while he has gone up against 2,102 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.08 (229 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.231. He has allowed 475 base hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 146 walks.
The Red Sox hold a team SLG% of .437 and they earn 4.76 runs per game (8th in the league). They have tallied 65 doubles, while taking a walk 80 times as well as earning 138 runs. Boston has a total of 33 home runs for the season as well as 124 RBIs. They have been rung up on 243 occasions (19th in MLB) and have recorded 252 hits. The Boston Red Sox have tallied an on-base percentage of .324 and a team batting average of .261 over the course of the season.
The Boston pitching staff have allowed 118 runs this season while holding an ERA of 3.75 (106 earned runs allowed). They have yielded 20 dingers and they concede 4.18 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league). The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.275 in addition to having a FIP of 3.28 as a staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.83 (277 strikeouts vs 98 bases on balls). They sit at 20th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 226.
Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 37.1% of 35 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 38 times in high leverage situations and also on 24 occasions with runners on. With 27 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 16 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. They rank 14th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.6%, and they have dispatched 94 relief pitchers to the mound this season. Boston has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 11 save opportunities and they have tallied 7 saves.
The Boston Red Sox have twisted 24 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (24th in the majors). The Red Sox have 252 assists, 19 errors and have a tally of 763 putouts for the season. In their 2,289 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox hold a efficiency on defense of 67.3% (29th in MLB).
During his pro baseball career, Pivetta has surrendered 443 base hits while he has accumulated 459 K's in 432 innings. Pivetta (24-30 career record) has a 5.25 ERA while giving up 9.2 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 252 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.419 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.70 and he has faced 1,874 hitters in his MLB career.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston (-147) and under 8.5 runs
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