Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, May 5, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+163) Boston (-177)

Martin Perez and the Boston Red Sox (17-12, 1st in AL East) host the Detroit Tigers (8-21, 5th in AL Central) at Fenway Park on Wednesday. The Red Sox open this game at -177 while the Tigers are priced at +163. The total is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Casey Mize and Martin Perez.

The Tigers have compiled 27 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 30 balls out of the park. Detroit owns a slugging percentage of .338 and have been called out on strikes 305 times, while taking a walk on 70 occasions. As a unit, the Detroit Tigers are earning 2.7 runs/g, which is 30th in the league. They have amassed 79 runs batted in as well as 177 hits this season, and their team batting average sits at .195. They have notched a total of 79 runs and have an on-base percentage of .255.

The Tigers have an ERA of 5.05 on the season (29th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 213 hitters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 1.94 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.40. Tigers pitchers have surrendered 38 long balls and also 141 total runs (24th in MLB). They have walked 110 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.85 as a team on the year.

The Tigers have sent 83 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 39 base runners on the season and 41.0% of those players ended up scoring. They have 5 saves for the season and have missed out on 2 of their 7 save opportunities. The Tigers relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 71.4% and has come into the game in 18 save situations. The relievers have earned 10 holds so far this season (24th in the league). Tigers pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 23 times as well as having 13 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Detroit Tigers have a total of 728 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 249 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .981 which has them sitting 26th in MLB, and they have turned 208 double plays. The Tigers have converted 70.5% of balls in play into outs in their 2,184 innings, which ranks them 15th in the majors.

Mize (1-6 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 6.01 while he has gone up against 248 hitters in the majors. He has allowed 56 base hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) with 23 walks. His ERA is 6.05 (37 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.436. Mize has taken the mound for 55 innings and has earned 46 punch outs during his career.

The Red Sox hold a team slugging % of .437 and they score 4.76 runs per outing (7th in baseball). They have 65 doubles, while walking 80 times and scoring 138 runs. Boston has 33 home runs on the year and 124 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 243 occasions (19th in the league) and have notched a total of 252 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have a team on-base percentage of .324 as well as a batting average of .261 so far this season.

The Boston pitching staff have conceded 118 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.75 (106 earned runs conceded). They have relinquished 20 home runs and they surrender 4.18 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.275 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.28 as a staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.83 (277 strikeouts vs 98 free passes). They come in at 19th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 226.

Sitting with 27 save situations, the Red Sox have accumulated 16 holds and 4 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 11 save opportunities and they have earned 7 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 38 times in high leverage situations and also on 24 occasions with runners on base. Boston relievers have an inherited score percentage of 37.1% out of 35 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 14th in the league with a save rate of 63.6%, and they have dispatched 94 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this season.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 24 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (25th in baseball). The Red Sox have 252 assists, 19 errors and have notched a total of 763 putouts on the campaign. In 2,289 innings on the field, the Red Sox have a efficiency on defense of 67.3% (29th in pro baseball).

Thus far in his career, Perez has given up 1,120 hits while he has tallied 665 punch outs in 1,011 innings pitched. Perez (56-63 career mark) is the owner of a 4.71 ERA while allowing 10.0 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 529 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.477 and a FIP of 4.5. His K/BB ratio is 1.78 and he has faced 4,420 hitters so far in his career.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston (-177) and under 9 runs

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