Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/6/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, May 6, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+190) Boston (-208)

Spencer Turnbull and the Detroit Tigers (8-22, 5th in AL Central) travel to Fenway Park on Thursday where they'll meet the Boston Red Sox (18-12, 1st in AL East). The Tigers open this game at +190 while the Red Sox are priced at -208. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Spencer Turnbull and Nathan Eovaldi.

As a team, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 2.9 runs per outing, which puts them at 30th in the league. They are sitting with 86 runs and have an on-base percentage of .260. The Tigers have accounted for 29 doubles as a team and have knocked 31 baseballs out of the stadium. They have recorded 86 RBI's and 187 base knocks so far this season, and their team batting average comes in at .199. Detroit has a slugging percentage of .341 and have been called out on strikes 318 times, while taking a walk on 75 occasions.

The Tigers have compiled a team ERA of 5.22 on the campaign (30th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 219 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 113 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.99 as a unit for the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.94 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.42. Tigers pitchers have allowed 42 long balls and 152 total runs (27th in the league).

The Tigers have dispatched 89 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 44 runners for the year with 36.4% of them ended up scoring. They have recorded 5 saves this season and have blown 2 of 7 chances to get a save. The Tigers relievers have a save percentage of 71.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 18 save situations. The bullpen have accumulated 10 holds so far this year (24th in baseball). Tigers relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 26 times and also have had 13 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Tigers have converted 70.2% of balls in play into outs out of 2,256 innings on the field, which ranks them 16th in the majors. The Detroit Tigers have earned a total of 752 putouts thus far, as well as 260 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding rate is at .981 which puts them in 25th in baseball, and they have turned 216 double plays.

Turnbull has pitched in 237 frames and is sitting with 224 strikeouts in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.55 (120 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.378. He has surrendered 230 base hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 97 free passes. Turnbull (8-25 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.76 and he has gone up against 1,034 batters during his time in the majors.

The Boston Red Sox have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .328 as well as a team batting average of .265 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 249 occasions (19th in the league) and are sitting with 266 base hits. Boston has compiled 37 HRs on the year as well as 134 runs batted in. The Red Sox have a SLG% of .449 and they have an average of 4.97 runs per contest (4th in the league). They have put up 67 doubles, while getting a free base 83 times and scoring 149 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 125 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 3.87 (113 earned runs conceded). They have yielded 21 home runs and they concede 4.28 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball). The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.288 in addition to having a FIP of 3.29 as a unit on the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.82 (290 strikeouts vs 103 bases on balls). They come in at 20th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 236.

With 31 save situations, the Red Sox have compiled 19 holds and 4 blown saves. Boston has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 12 save opportunities and they have tallied 8 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 39 times in high leverage situations and on 26 occasions with runners on base. Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 35.9% out of their 39 inherited runners. They are ranked 11th in baseball with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 99 relief pitchers onto the field over the course of the season.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 26 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .979 (27th in the majors). The Red Sox have accrued 260 assists, 22 errors and have a total of 790 putouts on the campaign. In their 2,370 innings played, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 66.8% (29th in baseball).

Thus far in his career, Eovaldi has conceded 1,043 hits while tallying 794 K's in 1,000 innings. He has surrendered 472 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.350 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.58 and he has faced 4,274 batters thus far in his career. Eovaldi (54-58 career mark) has earned a 4.25 earned run average while allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Detroit (+190)

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