Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds
Date: Friday, September 3, 2021
Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+145) Cincinnati (-192)
Great American Ball Park is the venue where Vladimir Gutierrez and the Cincinnati Reds (72-63, 2nd in NL Central) will take on the Detroit Tigers (63-71, 3rd in AL Central) on Friday. The odds on this contest have the Tigers priced at +145 and the Reds are at -192. The over/under opens at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers are Tyler Alexander and Vladimir Gutierrez.
The Tigers have tallied 191 doubles as a squad and have knocked 150 baseballs out of the park. Detroit has a slugging percentage of .398 and have been called out on strikes 1,261 times, while drawing a walk on 401 occasions. As a team, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.3 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have amassed 554 runs batted in and 1,067 hits over the course of the season, and their batting average comes in at .241. They have notched a total of 574 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .306.
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The Tigers are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.40 for the season (20th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,052 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 459 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.66 as a unit this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.29 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.36. Tigers pitchers have surrendered 175 home runs and 641 runs (21st in baseball).
The Tigers relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 67.3% and has come into the game in 115 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 194 base runners on the year with 36.6% of them ended up crossing the plate. Tigers relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 125 times in addition to having 135 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have sent 472 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The bullpen have racked up 62 holds this season (18th in the league). They have 33 saves on the year and have blown 16 of their 49 chances to save the game.
The Detroit Tigers have amassed 3,515 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,226 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which ranks 17th in MLB, and they have twisted 956 double plays. The Tigers have turned 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 10,545 innings on the field, ranking them 17th in pro baseball.
Alexander (5-9 mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.59 while going up against 706 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 185 base hits (10.1 hits per nine innings) with 33 free passes. His ERA is 4.43 (81 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.324. Alexander has taken the ball for 164 innings and has totaled 142 strikeouts during his MLB career.
The Cincinnati Reds have earned a team OBP of .330 and a batting average of .250 so far this year. They have struck out on 1,219 occasions (10th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,134 base hits. Cincinnati has knocked in 186 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 646 RBIs. The Reds hold a slugging % of .432 and they have an average of 4.98 runs per game (6th in the league). They have tallied 246 two-baggers, while taking a walk 464 times and putting up 672 runs.
The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 628 runs on the year while having an ERA of 4.35 (579 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 170 homers and they concede 4.72 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Reds have a WHIP of 1.361 and have a FIP of 4.36 as a team so far this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.40 (1,267 strikeouts vs 529 free passes). They come in at 18th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,100.
Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 61 save opportunities and they have come away with 36 saves. They are ranked 22nd in MLB with a save percentage of 59.0%, and they have sent 479 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 160 times in high leverage situations and on 141 occasions with runners on base. Cincinnati relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 38.6% out of their 215 inherited base runners. Sitting with 126 save situations, the Reds have 63 holds in addition to 25 blown saves.
The Cincinnati Reds have turned 107 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (12th in professional baseball). The Reds have 1,183 assists, 71 errors and have a total of 3,593 putouts over the course of the season. In 10,779 innings on the diamond, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (22nd in professional baseball).
Thus far in his career, Gutierrez has surrendered 92 base knocks while accumulating 75 strikeouts in 96 innings. He has allowed 43 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.323 and a FIP of 4.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.14 and he has gone up against 408 batters so far in his pro baseball career. Gutierrez (9-5 career win-loss mark) has a 4.03 earned run average while giving up 8.6 hits per nine innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-192)
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