Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Sunday, September 5, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+170) Cincinnati (-227)

Great American Ball Park is the site where Luis Castillo and the Cincinnati Reds (72-64, 2nd in NL Central) will play the Detroit Tigers (64-72, 3rd in AL Central) on Sunday. The odds on this matchup have the Tigers coming in at +170 and the Reds are at -227. The O/U is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Casey Mize and Luis Castillo.

The Tigers have hit 196 doubles as a squad and have smacked 158 baseballs out of the stadium. Detroit has a slugging rate of .404 and have struck out 1,280 times, while being walked on 408 occasions. As a team, the Detroit Tigers are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 19th in MLB. They have accumulated 574 RBI's as well as 1,095 base knocks for the season, while their average at the plate comes in at .242. They have a total of 595 runs and hold an OBP of .307.

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The Tigers have an ERA of 4.43 on the campaign (19th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,070 batters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.28 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.37. Tigers pitchers have surrendered 179 long balls and 654 total runs (22nd in MLB). They have walked 470 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.68 as a squad this year.

The Tigers relievers have earned a save rate of 67.3% and has entered the game in 115 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 198 runners on the campaign with 36.4% of them crossed home plate. Tigers pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 127 times as well as having 136 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have sent 479 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have earned 62 holds for the season (18th in baseball). They have 33 saves over the course of the season and have blown 16 of their 49 chances to get a save.

The Detroit Tigers have amassed 3,569 putouts on the year, as well as 1,238 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which has them sitting 15th in the majors, and have earned 967 double plays. The Tigers have converted 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 10,707 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 18th in professional baseball.

Mize (7-10 career mark) sits with a FIP of 5.20 while he has gone up against 684 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 146 base hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 52 free passes. His ERA is 4.18 (76 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.210. Mize has thrown 163 frames and has 130 strikeouts so far in his career.

Cincinnati has 188 home runs this year to go along with 651 runs batted in. They have hit 248 doubles, while walking 470 times as well as notching 677 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have a team OBP of .330 and a batting average of .250 so far this season. The Reds hold a team SLG% of .433 and they average 4.98 runs per game (7th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,232 instances (10th in MLB) and have totaled 1,143 base hits.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 643 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 4.42 (593 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 175 dingers and they relinquish 4.80 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB). The Reds have a WHIP of 1.368 and have a FIP of 4.40 as a staff so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.40 (1,276 strikeouts vs 532 bases on balls). They come in at 18th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,118.

Cincinnati relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 39.3% out of 219 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 160 times in high leverage situations in addition to 144 occasions with base runners. With 126 save situations, the Reds have 63 holds and 25 blown saves. They are ranked 19th in MLB with a save rate of 59.0%, and they have sent 485 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. Cincinnati has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 61 save opportunities and they have earned 36 saves.

Out of their 10,860 innings played, the Reds hold a efficiency on defense of 68.9% (23rd in MLB). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 107 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (12th in the majors). The Reds have recorded 1,192 assists, 73 errors and have accounted for 3,620 putouts this season.

In his career, Castillo has surrendered 575 base hits while accumulating 737 punch outs in 676 innings pitched. He has conceded 284 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.216 and having a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.97 and he has faced 2,816 opposing batters during his career. Castillo (39-47 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.78 earned run average and has conceded 7.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-227)

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