Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/9/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Friday, July 9, 2021

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sports North

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+215) Minnesota (-294)

Target Field is the venue where Kenta Maeda and the Minnesota Twins (35-50, 5th in AL Central) will take on the Detroit Tigers (40-47, 3rd in AL Central) on Friday. The Tigers open this game at +215 while the Twins are coming in at -294. The over/under opens at 9. The starting pitchers are Matt Manning and Kenta Maeda.

Detroit has a slugging % of .387 and have been called out on strikes 852 times, while being walked on 280 occasions. They have accrued 343 runs batted in in addition to 663 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average is .235. The Tigers have hit 113 doubles as a unit and have knocked 93 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 355 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .307. As a team, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.1 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 23rd in MLB.

The Tigers have compiled a team earned run average of 4.67 on the season (23rd in the league), and their staff has struck out 687 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 297 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.60 as a unit on the campaign. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.31 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.38. Tigers pitchers have conceded 107 long balls and also 424 runs (25th in MLB).

The Tigers relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 64.3% and has come into the game in 70 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 122 runners on the year and 33.6% of those players earned a run for their team. Tigers bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 79 times in addition to having 79 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have dispatched 296 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The bullpen have racked up 40 holds this season (15th in the league). They have accumulated 18 saves this year and have blown 10 of 28 save chances.

The Detroit Tigers are sitting with 2,232 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 765 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding rate is at .983 which has them sitting 20th in baseball, and they have turned 622 double plays. The Tigers have transformed 68.9% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,696 innings, which has them sitting 19th in professional baseball.

Manning has taken the hill for 17 innings and is sitting with 6 strikeouts during his career. His earned run average is 7.94 (15 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.765. He has conceded 25 base hits (13.2 hits per 9 innings) with 5 walks. Manning (1-2 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 5.82 and he has faced 81 batters in the majors.

The Twins hold a team slugging percentage of .433 and they score 4.64 runs per game (11th in MLB). They have 146 doubles, while getting a free base 275 times and putting up 390 runs. Minnesota is sitting with 121 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 362 RBIs. They have struck out on 730 occasions (20th in MLB) and have notched a total of 699 base hits. The Minnesota Twins are sitting with a team OBP of .317 in addition to a batting average of .246 on the season.

The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.366 and have a FIP of 4.72 as a unit so far this year. They are currently ranked 26th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 742. The Minnesota pitching staff have surrendered 454 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 5.00 (408 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio is 2.65 (691 strikeouts vs 261 walks). They have allowed 127 home runs and they concede 5.57 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league).

Minnesota relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 57.6% out of their 92 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 93 times in high leverage situations and on 66 occasions with runners on. With 77 save situations, the Twins have compiled 46 holds and 11 blown saves. They rank 13th in MLB holding a save rate of 64.5%, and they have dispatched 274 relievers to the mound for the year. Minnesota has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 31 save opportunities and they have recorded 20 saves.

In their 6,609 innings on the diamond, the Twins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (24th in the majors). The Minnesota Twins have turned 70 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in MLB). The Twins have racked up 734 assists, 60 errors and have amassed 2,203 putouts for the season.

During his career, Maeda has given up 610 base knocks while he has accumulated 785 strikeouts in 718 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 308 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.140 and having a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.76 and he has gone up against 2,955 opposing batters during his pro baseball career. Maeda (57-39 career mark) holds a 3.86 earned run average while giving up 7.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-294)

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