Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 9/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins
Date: Tuesday, September 28, 2021
Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN
TV: Bally Sports North
Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+170) Minnesota (-233)
Joe Ryan and the Minnesota Twins (69-87, 5th in AL Central) host the Detroit Tigers (75-80, 3rd in AL Central) at Target Field on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Tigers coming in at +170 and the Twins are at -233. The O/U is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Tyler Alexander and Joe Ryan.
As a squad, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.3 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 22nd in baseball. They have tallied 666 runs while holding a team OBP of .306. The Tigers have hit 224 two-baggers as a team and have hit 174 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accrued 644 RBI's as well as 1,238 hits this year, while their average at the plate sits at .241. Detroit has a slugging rate of .400 and have struck out 1,454 times, while taking a walk on 465 occasions.
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Tigers pitchers have surrendered 188 home runs in addition to 718 total runs (16th in the league). They have walked 544 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.56 as a unit on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.22 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.36. The Tigers hold a team earned run average of 4.27 on the season (15th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,205 hitters.
Tigers pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 149 times in addition to having 162 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 76 holds on the season (15th in MLB). The Tigers relievers have earned a save rate of 65.6% and has come into the game in 142 save situations. They have earned 40 saves for the season and have missed out on 21 out of their 61 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 225 base runners on the campaign and 36.0% of them earned a run for their team. The Tigers have dispatched 556 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.
The Tigers have turned 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,246 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 12th in baseball. The Detroit Tigers have earned 4,082 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,432 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which is 13th in pro baseball, and have 1,090 double plays.
Alexander has taken the hill for 184 frames and has racked up 158 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Alexander (5-10 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.56 while he has faced 792 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.30 (88 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.335. He has conceded 205 hits (10.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 41 free passes.
The Twins have a team SLG% of .422 and they tally 4.47 runs per outing (16th in baseball). They have hit 263 doubles, while walking 513 times as well as recording 697 runs. Minnesota has knocked in 218 home runs on the campaign as well as 659 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,358 occasions (14th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,256 hits. The Minnesota Twins are sitting with an on-base percentage of .314 in addition to a team batting average of .240 this year.
The Minnesota pitching staff have conceded 806 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.84 (735 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 235 HR's and they surrender 5.31 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Twins hold a team WHIP of 1.320 in addition to having a FIP of 4.68 as a team for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 2.73 (1,269 strikeouts against 465 free passes). They are currently ranked 25th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,338.
Minnesota bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 44.6% of 166 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 169 times in high leverage situations and also on 124 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 144 save situations, the Twins have earned 83 holds and also 20 blown saves. They sit at 5th in MLB with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have sent 506 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Minnesota has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 60 save chances and they have come away with 40 saves.
The Minnesota Twins have turned 135 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in the majors). The Twins have recorded 1,376 assists, 106 errors and have 4,099 putouts so far this year. In 12,297 innings played, the Twins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (18th in baseball).
Ryan (2-1 career mark) has a 2.45 ERA while allowing 4.1 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 8.33 and he has faced 78 opposing batters in his MLB career. He has conceded 6 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 0.591 and having a FIP of 2.5. Thus far in his career, Ryan has allowed 10 hits while tallying 25 strikeouts in 22 innings pitched.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-233)
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