Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 10/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, October 19, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+101) Boston (-111)

Fenway Park is the venue where Nick Pivetta and the Boston Red Sox (92-70, 2nd in AL East) will take on the Houston Astros (95-67, 1st in AL West) on Tuesday in Game 4 of the ALCS. The moneyline on this matchup has the Astros coming in at +101 and the Red Sox are at -111. The total is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Zack Greinke and Nick Pivetta.

The Astros have tallied 299 doubles as a unit and have smacked 221 baseballs out of the stadium. Houston is slugging .444 and have struck out 1,222 times, while being walked on 569 occasions. As a unit, the Houston Astros are compiling 5.3 runs per game, which has them at 1st in the league. They have 834 runs batted in as well as 1,496 base knocks this year, while their team batting average is .267. They are sitting with 863 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .339.

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Astros pitchers have allowed 187 long balls and 658 total runs (7th in the league). They have walked 549 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.12 as a team for the year. Their K/BB ratio is 2.65 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.23. The Astros have compiled a team ERA of 3.76 for the season (7th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,456 hitters.

The Astros have dispatched 512 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 202 runners on the year and 36.1% of them ended up scoring. They have tallied 34 saves over the course of the season and have blown 27 out of their 61 chances to save the game. The Astros relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 55.7% and has come into the game in 131 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 69 holds for the year (25th in the league). Astros pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 137 times and also have had 166 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Houston Astros have accumulated 4,335 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,432 assists and 71 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which has them sitting 1st in pro baseball, and they have twisted 1,153 double plays. The Astros have converted 71.3% of balls in play into outs in their 13,005 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 3rd in MLB.

Greinke has taken the ball for 3,110 innings and has 2,809 strikeouts during his MLB career. His ERA is 3.41 (1,179 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.159. He has given up 2,892 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 712 walks. Greinke (219-132 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.44 while facing 12,699 batters in the majors.

The Boston Red Sox have earned a team OBP of .328 and a batting average of .261 this season. They have struck out on 1,386 occasions (20th in the league) and have accounted for 1,434 base knocks. Boston has accounted for 219 HRs on the year and 783 runs batted in. The Red Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .449 and they earn 5.12 runs per game (4th in the league). They have hit 330 doubles, while taking a walk 512 times and scoring 829 runs.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.378 in addition to having a FIP of 3.95 as a pitching staff so far this year. They come in at 28th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,409. The Boston pitching staff have allowed 749 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 4.26 (671 earned runs allowed). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.80 (1,527 strikeouts vs 546 bases on balls). They have conceded 176 dingers and they allow 4.75 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball).

With 176 save situations, the Red Sox have tallied 95 holds and 27 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 76 save chances and they have tallied 49 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 198 times in high leverage situations and also on 177 occasions with runners on base. Boston relievers have an inherited score rate of 30.7% of 277 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 9th in MLB with a save rate of 64.5%, and they have dispatched 563 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

Out of their 12,771 innings played, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 65.9% (30th in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have twisted 143 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 1,421 assists, 108 errors and have a tally of 4,257 putouts on the campaign.

During his career, Pivetta has surrendered 565 base hits while he has earned 609 K's in 561 frames. He has given up a total of 322 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.395 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.79 and he has faced 2,431 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Pivetta (30-38 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 5.16 earned run average and has given up 9.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-111)

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