Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 6/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Friday, June 11, 2021

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sports North

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-120) Minnesota (-105)

Jose Urquidy and the Houston Astros (35-26, 2nd in AL West) travel to Target Field on Friday where they'll meet the Minnesota Twins (24-37, 5th in AL Central). The moneyline on this game has the Astros coming in at -120 and the Twins are at -105. The O/U is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Jose Urquidy and Matt Shoemaker.

The Astros have compiled 122 doubles as a unit and have hit 72 balls out of the park. Houston has a slugging percentage of .436 and have struck out 432 times, while being walked on 216 occasions. As a squad, the Houston Astros are scoring 5.4 runs per game, which ranks them 1st in baseball. They have 309 runs batted in and 573 base knocks for the year, and their batting average is sitting at .271. They are sitting with 328 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .343.

The Astros have a team earned run average of 3.73 for the season (11th in the league), and their staff has rung up 553 batters. They have walked 201 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.14 as a squad over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.75 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.18. Astros pitchers have conceded 74 home runs and 248 runs in total (10th in the league).

Astros bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 55 times in addition to having 61 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 27 holds for the year (18th in baseball). The Astros relief pitchers have a save percentage of 56.5% and stepped onto the hill in 51 save situations. They have recorded 13 saves so far this year and have blown 10 of their 23 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 86 base runners on the season and 39.5% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Astros have sent 187 relievers to the mound so far this season.

The Astros have turned 72.8% of balls in play into outs out of 4,929 innings on the field, which ranks them 1st in baseball. The Houston Astros have accumulated 1,643 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 514 assists and 21 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .990 which puts them in 1st in MLB, and they have turned 448 double plays.

Urquidy (7-5 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.03 while he has faced 503 opposing hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 109 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) with 25 walks. His ERA is 3.58 (50 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.066. Urquidy has taken the hill for 125 innings and has racked up 104 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The Twins have a SLG% of .426 and they average 4.59 runs per game (11th in the league). They have 105 doubles, while getting a free base 201 times as well as recording 280 runs. Minnesota has accounted for 86 home runs for the year and 261 runs batted in. They have struck out on 542 instances (16th in MLB) and have earned 499 base hits. The Minnesota Twins have compiled a team OBP of .315 in addition to a batting average of .243 for the year.

The Minnesota pitching staff have given up 322 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.87 (287 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 89 long balls and they surrender 5.47 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.347 and have a FIP of 4.66 as a staff so far this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.64 (493 strikeouts vs 187 walks). They rank 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 527.

With 59 save situations, the Twins have tallied 36 holds and also 9 blown saves. Minnesota has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 23 save opportunities and they have come away with 14 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 69 times in high leverage situations in addition to 51 occasions with base runners. Minnesota bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 61.6% of 73 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 15th in the league holding a save rate of 60.9%, and they have dispatched 197 relief pitchers onto the field on the year.

Out of their 4,773 innings on the diamond, the Twins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (22nd in professional baseball). The Minnesota Twins have twisted 57 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .980 (28th in baseball). The Twins have accrued 546 assists, 43 errors and have accumulated 1,591 putouts on the season.

Shoemaker (45-40 career mark) is the owner of a 4.12 earned run average and has surrendered 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.42 and he has gone up against 2,712 batters so far in his career. He has allowed 299 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.213 and a FIP of 4.2. So far in his MLB career, Shoemaker has allowed 624 hits while he has accumulated 574 strikeouts in 653 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Minnesota (-105)

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