Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction, 5/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs New York Yankees

Date: Tuesday, May 4, 2021

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+112) New York (-122)

Domingo German and the New York Yankees (14-14, 3rd in AL East) host the Houston Astros (15-13, 3rd in AL West) at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday. The Astros open this game at +112 while the Yankees are priced at -122. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Zack Greinke and Domingo German.

As a team, the Houston Astros are earning 4.9 runs per contest, which is 5th in MLB. They have accounted for 138 runs while holding a team OBP of .318. The Astros have earned 55 doubles as a unit and have hit 27 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 130 runs batted in in addition to 241 hits for the year, while their average at the plate is sitting at .253. Houston has a slugging rate of .404 and have been rung up 203 times, while being walked on 82 occasions.

Astros pitchers have conceded 31 home runs in addition to 106 total runs (11th in MLB). They have walked 81 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.94 as a unit on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.07 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.15. The Astros have a team earned run average of 3.68 for the season (9th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 249 batters.

Astros relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 22 times and also have had 23 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 13 holds on the campaign (16th in MLB). The Astros bullpen have a save percentage of 60.0% and stepped onto the hill in 24 save situations. They have earned 6 saves on the season and have missed out on 4 out of their 10 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 40 runners for the season and 37.5% of those players crossed home plate. The Astros have sent 83 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Houston Astros have earned 741 putouts so far this season, in addition to 223 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .989 which is 3rd in pro baseball, and have a total of 208 double plays. The Astros have transformed 72.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,223 innings, ranking them 5th in MLB.

Greinke has taken the hill for 2,975 innings and is sitting with 2,716 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.37 (1,114 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.158. He has conceded 2,764 base hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 682 walks. Greinke (210-127 career record) has a FIP of 3.37 while facing 12,149 batters in the major leagues.

The New York Yankees have recorded a team on-base percentage of .315 and a team batting average of .221 on the campaign. They have struck out on 240 instances (20th in baseball) and have recorded 203 hits. New York has knocked in 37 long balls for the year and 105 RBIs. The Yankees have a team SLG% of .379 and they are scoring 3.93 runs per game (24th in baseball). They have recorded 34 two-baggers, while taking a walk 120 times and putting up 110 runs.

The Yankees are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.055 in addition to having a FIP of 3.20 as a unit so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.07 (301 strikeouts against 74 walks). They have a ranking of 5th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 190. They have allowed 28 home runs and they give up 3.45 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league). The New York pitching staff have yielded 96 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.02 (84 earned runs conceded).

New York has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 8 save chances and they have recorded 8 saves. They are ranked 1st in MLB holding a save percentage of 100.0%, and they have dispatched 84 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 34 times in high leverage situations and on 20 occasions with runners on. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 14.8% out of their 27 inherited runners. With 20 save situations, the Yankees have earned 12 holds.

Out of their 2,256 innings on the field, the Yankees have a defensive efficiency of 71.4% (8th in the majors). The New York Yankees have twisted 16 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (11th in pro baseball). The Yankees have 214 assists, 15 errors and have a tally of 752 putouts during this campaign.

German (22-13 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.48 ERA while giving up 8.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.44 and he has faced 1,119 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 131 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.232 and having a FIP of 4.5. So far in his MLB career, German has conceded 239 hits and he has 292 K's in 263 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (+112)

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