Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction, 5/6/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs New York Yankees

Date: Thursday, May 6, 2021

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+173) New York (-188)

Lance McCullers Jr and the Houston Astros (15-14, 3rd in AL West) head to Yankee Stadium on Thursday where they'll take on the New York Yankees (15-14, 2nd in AL East). The Astros open this matchup at +173 while the Yankees are coming in at -188. The total is set at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers are Lance McCullers Jr and Gerrit Cole.

As a squad, the Houston Astros are recording 4.9 runs per outing, which is 6th in baseball. They have 141 runs while having a team OBP of .317. The Astros have recorded 56 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 29 balls out of the park. They have accrued 133 RBI's and 249 base knocks so far this year, while their batting average is at .253. Houston is slugging .406 and have been called out on strikes 213 times, while taking a walk on 83 occasions.

The Astros have an earned run average of 3.81 for the season (11th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 257 hitters. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.86 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.18. Astros pitchers have given up 32 long balls in addition to 113 total runs (10th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 90 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.01 as a squad for the season.

The Astros relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 60.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 24 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 42 base runners this year and 40.5% of them earned a run for their team. Astros relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 23 times in addition to having 24 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have sent 87 relievers to the mound for the season. The relievers have tallied 13 holds for the season (17th in baseball). They have recorded 6 saves for the season and have missed out on 4 of 10 chances to save the game.

The Astros have converted 71.7% of baseballs in play into outs in their 2,295 innings, which has them sitting 5th in baseball. The Houston Astros have a tally of 765 putouts so far this season, in addition to 231 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .988 which is 3rd in baseball, and have earned 215 double plays.

McCullers (34-26 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 3.29 while he has faced 2,248 hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 458 base knocks (7.7 hits per 9 innings) with 212 free passes. His ERA is 3.68 (219 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.252. McCullers has taken the ball for 535 frames and has accounted for 595 strikeouts during his career.

The Yankees have a team slugging % of .380 and they average 4.03 runs per game (23rd in MLB). They have 35 two-baggers, while walking 129 times and scoring 117 runs. New York has compiled 38 home runs over the course of the season as well as 109 runs batted in. They have struck out on 248 occasions (20th in the league) and have totaled 212 hits. The New York Yankees have a team OBP of .319 and a batting average of .223 for the season.

The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.053 in addition to having a FIP of 3.23 as a squad on the campaign. They are currently ranked 5th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 198. The New York pitching staff have relinquished 99 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.02 (87 earned runs yielded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 4.15 (311 strikeouts against 75 walks). They have relinquished 30 HR's and they surrender 3.44 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB).

New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 14.8% of 27 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 34 times in high leverage situations and on 20 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 20 save situations, the Yankees have amassed 12 holds. They are currently ranked 1st in MLB with a save rate of 100.0%, and they have sent 88 bullpen pitchers onto the field this year. New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 8 save opportunities and they have recorded 8 saves.

The New York Yankees have twisted 18 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (8th in baseball). The Yankees have recorded 227 assists, 15 errors and have accounted for 779 putouts this year. In their 2,337 innings played, the Yankees are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 71.4% (9th in professional baseball).

In his career, Cole has conceded 1,111 hits while totaling 1,492 K's in 1,305 innings. He has allowed 456 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.107 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.45 and he has gone up against 5,271 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. Cole (105-56 record in his career) has a 3.14 ERA while allowing 7.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (+173)

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