Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 9/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres
Date: Sunday, September 5, 2021
Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA
TV: Bally Sports San Diego
Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-111) San Diego (-111)
Luis Garcia and the Houston Astros (79-55, 1st in AL West) are headed to Petco Park on Sunday where they'll take on the San Diego Padres (71-64, 3rd in NL West). The Padres open this contest at -111 while the Astros are priced at -111. The over/under has been set at 9. The men taking the mound will be Luis Garcia and Chris Paddack.
The Astros have hit 250 two-baggers as a team and have hit 171 balls out of the park. Houston has a slugging percentage of .438 and have been called out on strikes 1,014 times, while drawing a walk on 467 occasions. As a squad, the Houston Astros are notching 5.3 runs per game, which puts them at 2nd in the league. They have 678 runs batted in as well as 1,232 hits for the season, while their team batting average sits at .267. They have 705 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .338.
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The Astros have a team ERA of 3.66 this season (5th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,221 hitters. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.78 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.21. Astros pitchers have yielded 156 home runs in addition to 530 runs in total (5th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 439 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.07 as a unit on the year.
Astros bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 115 times and also have had 132 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have 59 holds so far this season (21st in the league). The Astros relief pitchers have a save rate of 58.8% and stepped onto the hill in 111 save situations. They have earned 30 saves on the year and have blown 21 of 51 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 171 base runners on the year and 35.7% of them earned a run for their team. The Astros have dispatched 415 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.
The Astros have converted 71.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 10,737 innings, which has them sitting at 2nd in professional baseball. The Houston Astros have a tally of 3,579 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,155 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .989 which has them ranked 1st in pro baseball, and have accumulated 973 double plays.
Garcia has taken the ball for 140 innings and has accounted for 159 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.20 (50 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.095. He has conceded 110 hits (7.0 hits per nine innings) and has 44 free passes. Garcia (10-7 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.50 while he has faced 569 opposing hitters in the major leagues.
San Diego has tallied 156 home runs this season as well as 589 runs batted in. They have recorded 216 doubles, while getting a free base 508 times and putting up 619 runs. The San Diego Padres have a team OBP of .323 and a team batting average of .241 on the year. The Padres hold a team slugging % of .402 and they are recording 4.59 runs per game (12th in baseball). They have struck out on 1,114 instances (25th in baseball) and have earned a total of 1,082 base hits.
The San Diego pitching staff have yielded 554 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 3.79 (505 earned runs given up). They have surrendered 159 long balls and they allow 4.16 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball). The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.232 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.97 as a squad on the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.08 (1,290 strikeouts vs 419 walks). They are currently ranked 13th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,058.
Sitting with 144 save situations, the Padres have compiled 81 holds and also 21 blown saves. San Diego has called on relievers to take the mound in 61 save chances and they have converted 40 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 127 times in high leverage situations and also on 92 occasions with runners on. San Diego relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.6% out of their 133 inherited base runners. They are ranked 9th in the league holding a save rate of 65.6%, and they have sent 512 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this year.
The San Diego Padres have turned 119 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (9th in professional baseball). The Padres have recorded 1,193 assists, 69 errors and have a total of 3,597 putouts for the season. Out of their 10,791 innings on the field, the Padres have a efficiency on defense of 69.6% (17th in pro baseball).
During his MLB career, Paddack has conceded 273 hits and he has 306 strikeouts in 297 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 137 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.130 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. His K/BB ratio is 4.86 and he has gone up against 1,230 opposing batters in his MLB career. Paddack (20-18 career mark) holds a 4.15 earned run average and has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-111)
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