Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 4/17/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Saturday, April 17, 2021

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: Root Sports Northwest

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-150) Seattle (+139)

Chris Flexen and the Seattle Mariners (8-5, 1st in AL West) host the Houston Astros (6-6, 3rd in AL West) at T-Mobile Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Astros coming in at -150 and the Mariners are at +139. The total opens at 8. The starting pitchers are Zack Greinke and Chris Flexen.

Houston has a slugging rate of .464 and have struck out 88 times, while being walked on 40 occasions. They have accumulated 60 runs batted in as well as 113 base knocks over the course of the season, and their batting average is at .268. The Astros have earned 24 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 19 balls out of the park. They have 64 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .336. As a squad, the Houston Astros are scoring 5.3 runs per game, which is 4th in the league.

The Astros have compiled a team ERA of 4.29 so far this season (15th in MLB), and they have rung up 105 hitters. They have walked 42 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.52 as a team for the season. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.50 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.26. Astros pitchers have relinquished 16 home runs and 53 total runs (15th in baseball).

The Astros relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 50.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 10 save situations. The relievers have inherited 25 base runners for the season and 32.0% of those runners crossed the plate. Astros pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 12 times and also have had 9 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have dispatched 39 relievers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen are sitting with 7 holds over the course of the season (11th in MLB). They have earned 1 save over the course of the season and have blown 1 of their 2 chances to get a save.

Greinke has taken the mound for 2,956 innings and has tallied 2,699 K's thus far in his career. Greinke (209-127 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.38 while he has gone up against 12,074 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.37 (1,108 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.159. He has allowed 2,746 base knocks (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 680 free passes.

The Mariners have a SLG% of .392 and they average 4.38 runs per game (15th in the league). They have recorded 21 doubles, while walking 42 times and scoring 57 runs. Seattle is sitting with 15 long balls so far this year to go along with 55 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 121 occasions (13th in the league) and have totaled 95 hits. The Seattle Mariners hold an OBP of .309 and a batting average of .231 for the season.

The Seattle pitching staff have surrendered 65 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.57 (56 earned runs surrendered). They have relinquished 18 homers and they concede 5.31 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league). The Mariners are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.379 and have a FIP of 4.92 as a staff so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.08 (108 strikeouts vs 52 free passes). They are currently ranked 17th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 100.

Seattle relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 46.7% out of their 15 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 17 times in high leverage situations and on 12 occasions with base runners. With 12 save situations, the Mariners have recorded 3 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. They rank 14th in the league holding a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have sent 38 relievers to the hill for the year. Seattle has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 9 save opportunities and they have walked away with 6 saves.

During his career, Flexen has surrendered 103 base hits while he has tallied 60 K's in 78 frames. He has allowed a total of 66 ER's while earning a WHIP of 2.064 and having a FIP of 6.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.03 and he has faced 389 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Flexen (4-11 career win-loss record) has earned a 7.62 earned run average and has surrendered 11.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Seattle (+139)

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