Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, June 28, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+100) Boston (-125)

Danny Duffy and the Kansas City Royals (33-42, 3rd in AL Central) head to Fenway Park on Monday where they'll take on the Boston Red Sox (46-31, 2nd in AL East). The moneyline on this contest has the Royals priced at +100 and the Red Sox are at -125. The over/under is set at 9.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Danny Duffy and Garrett Richards.

Kansas City owns a slugging percentage of .385 and have been rung up 611 times, while drawing a walk on 214 occasions. They have 296 runs batted in in addition to 596 hits on the campaign, while their average at the plate comes in at .241. The Royals have accounted for 107 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 72 baseballs out of the stadium. They have a total of 312 runs while holding a team OBP of .306. As a unit, the Kansas City Royals are recording 4.2 runs per contest, which has them at 19th in MLB.

The Royals have a team ERA of 4.87 this season (25th in the league), and their staff has struck out 663 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.23 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.45. Royals pitchers have conceded 90 long balls and 372 runs (22nd in the league). They have walked 297 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.41 as a team this season.

Royals pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 74 times as well as having 70 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 37 holds this season (14th in baseball). The Royals relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 57.1% and has come into the game in 65 save situations. They have accumulated 16 saves on the season and have blown 12 out of their 28 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 118 runners on the season and 27.1% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Royals have sent 254 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Kansas City Royals have amassed 1,897 putouts this year, in addition to 605 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which is 11th in MLB, and have a total of 503 double plays. The Royals have turned 67.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 5,691 innings, which ranks them 27th in professional baseball.

Duffy (68-68 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.15 and he has gone up against 4,901 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 1,094 base hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 425 free passes. His ERA is 3.94 (506 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.315. Duffy has taken the hill for 1,155 frames and has tallied 1,035 punch outs in his career.

Boston has recorded 92 home runs this season as well as 359 RBIs. They have hit 167 doubles, while walking 210 times and scoring 382 runs. The Boston Red Sox hold an on-base percentage of .318 in addition to a team batting average of .257 on the campaign. The Red Sox have a team SLG% of .433 and they score 4.96 runs per contest (5th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 687 occasions (13th in the league) and have earned a total of 669 base knocks.

The Boston pitching staff have allowed 347 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 4.12 (310 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 75 homers and they relinquish 4.61 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.404 in addition to having a FIP of 3.86 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.60 (723 strikeouts against 278 free passes). They are sitting at 27th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 674.

With 85 save situations, the Red Sox have 47 holds and also 11 blown saves. Boston has called on relievers to take the mound in 35 save chances and they have earned 24 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 93 times in high leverage situations and on 75 occasions with runners on base. Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 29.8% out of their 121 inherited base runners. They are ranked 7th in baseball holding a save rate of 68.6%, and they have dispatched 253 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 70 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .979 (29th in baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 674 assists, 56 errors and have amassed 1,980 putouts for the season. Out of their 5,940 innings on the field, the Red Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 65.4% (30th in professional baseball).

In his career, Richards has surrendered 807 base knocks while he has totaled 766 K's in 880 innings. Richards (51-46 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.72 earned run average while conceding 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 364 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.291 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.32 and he has gone up against 3,725 batters thus far in his career.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston (-125) and under 9.5 runs

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