Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/29/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, June 29, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+120) Boston (-152)

Brad Keller and the Kansas City Royals (33-43, 4th in AL Central) head to Fenway Park on Tuesday where they'll meet the Boston Red Sox (47-31, 1st in AL East). The Royals open this matchup at +120 while the Red Sox are priced at -152. The over/under has been set at 9.5. The starting pitchers will be Brad Keller and Nick Pivetta.

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Kansas City owns a slugging percentage of .383 and have struck out 617 times, while taking a walk on 215 occasions. They have accounted for 297 RBI's and 604 hits for the year, while their average at the plate comes in at .241. The Royals have recorded 107 doubles as a team and have knocked 72 balls out of the stadium. They are sitting with 313 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .305. As a squad, the Kansas City Royals are knocking in 4.1 runs per outing, which ranks them 19th in MLB.

The Royals have a team earned run average of 4.84 over the course of the season (25th in the league), and the staff has rung up 671 batters. They have walked 301 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.40 as a team for the year. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.23 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.44. Royals pitchers have surrendered 91 long balls and also 376 runs in total (24th in the league).

The Royals have sent 257 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 118 base runners so far this year with 27.1% of those players earned a run for their team. They have earned 16 saves for the season and have not converted 12 of 28 chances to save the game. The Royals relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 57.1% and has come into the game in 65 save situations. The relief pitchers have 37 holds for the season (16th in the league). Royals pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 74 times as well as having 70 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Royals have converted 67.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 5,907 innings on the field, which has them sitting 27th in baseball. The Kansas City Royals have notched a total of 1,969 putouts on the year, in addition to 632 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding rate is at .983 which ranks 17th in the majors, and they have turned 521 double plays.

Keller has thrown 436 innings and has totaled 320 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.00 (194 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.375. He has surrendered 426 hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) with 174 free passes. Keller (27-31 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.10 and he has gone up against 1,870 batters during his time in the majors.

Boston has accounted for 96 home runs for the season as well as 368 runs batted in. They have 170 doubles, while getting a free base 212 times as well as racking up 391 runs. The Boston Red Sox are sitting with an OBP of .319 and a team batting average of .258 on the season. The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .438 and they are recording 5.01 runs per contest (4th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 694 occasions (13th in baseball) and have recorded 682 hits.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.400 with a FIP of 3.83 as a staff on the campaign. They come in at 27th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 681. The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 349 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 4.09 (312 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.62 (736 strikeouts vs 281 walks). They have given up 76 home runs and they relinquish 4.57 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB).

Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 35 save opportunities and they have tallied 24 saves. They sit at 6th in baseball with a save percentage of 68.6%, and they have sent 256 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 94 times in high leverage situations and on 76 occasions with runners on base. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 29.3% out of 123 inherited runners. With 86 save situations, the Red Sox have tallied 48 holds in addition to 11 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 75 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .980 (29th in MLB). The Red Sox have accrued 709 assists, 57 errors and have a total of 2,061 putouts so far this season. In their 6,183 innings played, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 65.4% (30th in professional baseball).

During his career, Pivetta has conceded 492 base knocks while he has tallied 528 punch outs in 487 innings. Pivetta (27-33 record in his career) has a 5.17 ERA while allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 280 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.402 and a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.76 and he has gone up against 2,111 opposing batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-152)

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