Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 7/20/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Tuesday, July 20, 2021
Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI
TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin
Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+125) Milwaukee (-156)
Eric Lauer and the Milwaukee Brewers (56-39, 1st in NL Central) host the Kansas City Royals (37-55, 5th in AL Central) at American Family Field on Tuesday. The line on this contest has the Royals priced at +125 and the Brewers are at -156. The O/U has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Mike Minor and Eric Lauer.
As a unit, the Kansas City Royals are scoring 4.1 runs per game, which puts them at 25th in MLB. They are sitting with 377 runs scored and have an OBP of .305. The Royals have tallied 136 two-baggers as a team and have hit 90 baseballs out of the park. They have 356 runs batted in in addition to 746 base knocks over the course of the season, and their batting average is at .244. Kansas City has a slugging percentage of .388 and have been called out on strikes 744 times, while taking a walk on 251 occasions.
Royals pitchers have given up 117 long balls in addition to 478 total runs (26th in MLB). They have walked 361 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.59 as a team on the campaign. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.20 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.47. The Royals have an earned run average of 5.15 this season (28th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 796 hitters.
Royals relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 84 times as well as having 78 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 42 holds this year (18th in baseball). The Royals bullpen have recorded a save rate of 54.5% and has entered the game in 75 save situations. They have compiled 18 saves this season and have missed out on 15 of 33 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 132 runners this season and 28.8% of them ended up scoring. The Royals have sent 310 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign.
The Royals have turned 67.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,146 innings, which ranks them 29th in MLB. The Kansas City Royals have amassed 2,382 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 781 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .983 which puts them in 18th in pro baseball, and have a total of 628 double plays.
Minor (77-74 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.02 and he has gone up against 5,232 hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 1,181 base knocks (8.4 hits per 9 innings) with 368 walks. His earned run average is 4.13 (577 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.231. Minor has taken the hill for 1,258 innings and has earned 1,151 strikeouts thus far in his career.
The Brewers have a team SLG% of .384 and they earn 4.42 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have 136 doubles, while getting a free base 364 times and scoring 420 runs. Milwaukee has accumulated 114 long balls on the campaign to go along with 398 runs batted in. They have struck out on 927 occasions (3rd in MLB) and have 697 hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .315 and a batting average of .223 so far this season.
The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 358 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.40 (320 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 98 dingers and they relinquish 3.80 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.175 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.75 as a unit on the campaign. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.89 (968 strikeouts against 335 free passes). They come in at 3rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 660.
Milwaukee bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 34.2% out of 79 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 119 times in high leverage situations and also on 60 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 91 save situations, the Brewers have accumulated 47 holds and 18 blown saves. They rank 22nd in the league with a save rate of 58.1%, and they have sent 303 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this season. Milwaukee has called on relievers to take the mound in 43 save opportunities and they have come away with 25 saves.
The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 58 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (17th in MLB). The Brewers have 784 assists, 56 errors and have earned 2,541 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 7,623 innings on the field, the Brewers are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 71.3% (4th in baseball).
Lauer (17-23 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.60 earned run average while giving up 9.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.34 and he has gone up against 1,458 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 168 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.468 and a FIP of 4.5. So far in his MLB career, Lauer has conceded 353 base knocks and he has 304 punch outs in 329 frames.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-156)
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