Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 7/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Wednesday, July 21, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+145) Milwaukee (-167)

Brad Keller and the Kansas City Royals (37-55, 5th in AL Central) travel to American Family Field on Wednesday where they'll meet the Milwaukee Brewers (56-39, 1st in NL Central). The moneyline on this game has the Royals coming in at +145 and the Brewers are at -167. The over/under has been set at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers are Brad Keller and Brett Anderson.

As a unit, the Kansas City Royals are earning 4.1 runs per contest, which ranks them 25th in the league. They have a total of 377 runs while holding a team OBP of .305. The Royals have accrued 136 doubles as a team and have hit 90 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 356 RBI's and 746 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average is .244. Kansas City is slugging .388 and have been called out on strikes 744 times, while taking a walk on 251 occasions.

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The Royals are sitting with a team earned run average of 5.15 so far this year (28th in the league), and the staff has struck out 796 batters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.20 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.47. Royals pitchers have given up 117 home runs and 478 total runs (26th in the league). They have walked 361 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.59 as a team this season.

The Royals have dispatched 310 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 132 base runners this year and 28.8% of those players ended up scoring. They have tallied 18 saves on the year and have blown 15 of their 33 chances to get a save. The Royals relievers have a save percentage of 54.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 75 save situations. The bullpen have racked up 42 holds so far this year (18th in the league). Royals relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 84 times in addition to having 78 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Kansas City Royals have a total of 2,382 putouts this year, as well as 781 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding rate is at .983 which has them ranked 17th in baseball, and they have twisted 628 double plays. The Royals have turned 67.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,146 innings on the field, which ranks them 29th in the majors.

Keller has taken the mound for 455 innings and has accounted for 336 strikeouts during his career. Keller (27-32 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.11 while he has gone up against 1,954 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 4.01 (203 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.384. He has surrendered 445 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has 185 walks.

The Brewers have a slugging percentage of .383 and they tally 4.42 runs per contest (14th in MLB). They have hit 136 two-baggers, while walking 364 times as well as putting up 420 runs. Milwaukee has knocked in 114 home runs on the year and 398 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 927 occasions (3rd in the league) and have a total of 696 base knocks. The Milwaukee Brewers have recorded a team on-base percentage of .314 as well as a team batting average of .223 so far this season.

The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.175 in addition to having a FIP of 3.75 as a team this year. They come in at 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 660. The Milwaukee pitching staff have yielded 358 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.40 (320 earned runs allowed). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.89 (968 strikeouts vs 335 bases on balls). They have allowed 98 homers and they concede 3.80 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league).

With 91 save situations, the Brewers have recorded 47 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. Milwaukee has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 43 save opportunities and they have recorded 25 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 119 times in high leverage situations and on 60 occasions with runners on base. Milwaukee relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.2% out of their 79 inherited base runners. They sit at 21st in the league with a save rate of 58.1%, and they have dispatched 303 relievers onto the diamond on the season.

The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 58 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (16th in the majors). The Brewers have recorded 784 assists, 56 errors and are sitting with 2,541 putouts for the season. In 7,623 innings on the diamond, the Brewers hold a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (4th in pro baseball).

Anderson (65-70 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 4.07 earned run average and has allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.56 and he has faced 4,646 batters in his career. He has allowed a total of 496 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.335 and a FIP of 4.0. During his career, Anderson has conceded 1,173 hits while earning 746 K's in 1,096 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-167)

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