Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 10/16/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Saturday, October 16, 2021
Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA
Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-112) Atlanta (-108)
Corey Knebel and the Los Angeles Dodgers (106-56, 2nd in NL West) head to Truist Park on Saturday where they'll meet the Atlanta Braves (88-73, 1st in NL East) in Game 1 of the NLCS. The Braves open this matchup at -108 while the Dodgers are priced at -112. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Corey Knebel and Max Fried.
As a squad, the Los Angeles Dodgers are notching 5.1 runs per game, which has them at 5th in baseball. They have racked up 830 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .330. The Dodgers have earned 247 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 237 balls out of the stadium. They have accrued 799 RBI's as well as 1,330 base knocks this year, while their batting average is sitting at .244. Los Angeles has a slugging % of .429 and have struck out 1,408 times, while being walked on 613 occasions.
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The Dodgers have a team ERA of 3.01 this year (1st in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,599 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.29 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.10. Dodgers pitchers have yielded 161 home runs in addition to 561 runs in total (1st in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 486 batters and their FIP is 3.54 as a team on the year.
Dodgers relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 168 times in addition to having 201 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 112 holds this year (3rd in the league). The Dodgers relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 67.5% and stepped onto the hill in 198 save situations. They have recorded 56 saves this year and have missed out on 27 of 83 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 231 base runners over the course of the season and 20.3% of them earned a run for their team. The Dodgers have dispatched 600 relievers to the mound on the season.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have amassed 4,356 putouts this year, in addition to 1,303 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which is 18th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 1,021 double plays. The Dodgers have turned 72.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 13,068 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 1st in MLB.
Knebel (10-11 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.27 while he has gone up against 1,088 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 204 base knocks (7.0 hits per nine innings) and has 115 walks. His ERA is 3.23 (94 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.218. Knebel has taken the mound for 262 innings and has 366 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.
The Atlanta Braves have compiled a team on-base percentage of .319 in addition to a batting average of .244 this year. They have struck out on 1,453 occasions (11th in baseball) and are sitting with 1,307 base hits. Atlanta has a total of 239 home runs on the season as well as 762 runs batted in. The Braves have a team slugging % of .435 and they are scoring 4.91 runs per outing (7th in baseball). They have put up 269 doubles, while taking a walk 549 times as well as recording 790 runs.
The Braves are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.242 in addition to having a FIP of 4.09 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They are sitting at 7th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,236. The Atlanta pitching staff have surrendered 656 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.88 (608 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio is 2.75 (1,417 strikeouts against 516 bases on balls). They have relinquished 183 HR's and they relinquish 4.19 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league).
With 180 save situations, the Braves have compiled 113 holds and also 26 blown saves. Atlanta has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 66 save opportunities and they have earned 40 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 221 times in high leverage situations and also on 129 occasions with runners on. Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.0% of 185 inherited base runners. They sit at 17th in MLB with a save rate of 60.6%, and they have dispatched 581 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the year.
In 12,696 innings on the field, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (5th in MLB). The Atlanta Braves have twisted 104 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .988 (3rd in professional baseball). The Braves have 1,483 assists, 72 errors and have 4,232 putouts this year.
During his pro baseball career, Fried has allowed 411 hits while earning 447 K's in 447 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 166 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.230 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. His K/BB ratio is 3.22 and he has gone up against 1,856 hitters during his pro baseball career. Fried (40-18 career win-loss record) holds a 3.34 earned run average and has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-108)
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