Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/17/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, September 17, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-196) Cincinnati (+145)

Luis Castillo and the Cincinnati Reds (75-71, 3rd in NL Central) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (94-53, 2nd in NL West) at Great American Ball Park on Friday. The Dodgers open this game at -196 while the Reds are priced at +145. The over/under is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Walker Buehler and Luis Castillo.

The Dodgers have earned 228 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 207 baseballs out of the stadium. Los Angeles is slugging .423 and have been called out on strikes 1,292 times, while taking a walk on 561 occasions. As a unit, the Los Angeles Dodgers are putting up 5.1 runs per game, which ranks them 5th in MLB. They have recorded 714 runs batted in in addition to 1,195 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate comes in at .242. They have accumulated 743 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .329.

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Dodgers pitchers have allowed 147 home runs and 499 runs in total (1st in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 445 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.55 as a team so far this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.27 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.09. The Dodgers have a team earned run average of 2.94 this season (1st in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,457 hitters.

The Dodgers have dispatched 540 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 207 base runners on the year and 21.7% of those players ended up scoring. They have recorded 47 saves so far this season and have blown 27 of 74 save opportunities. The Dodgers relief pitchers have a save percentage of 63.5% and has come into the game in 178 save situations. The relievers have notched 102 holds for the year (2nd in MLB). Dodgers relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 149 times and also have had 185 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Dodgers have converted 72.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,862 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 1st in pro baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers have earned 3,954 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,187 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which puts them in 16th in MLB, and they have turned 924 double plays.

Buehler has taken the ball for 551 frames and is sitting with 609 K's during his career. His ERA is 2.87 (176 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.002. He has surrendered 413 base knocks (6.7 hits per nine innings) with 140 free passes. Buehler (38-12 career record) holds a FIP of 3.23 while he has faced 2,197 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The Reds hold a team SLG% of .428 and they score 4.86 runs per contest (9th in the league). They have hit 261 doubles, while getting a free base 494 times and recording 710 runs. Cincinnati has accumulated 198 long balls for the year as well as 682 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,296 occasions (10th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,216 base knocks. The Cincinnati Reds have an on-base percentage of .327 and a batting average of .249 this season.

The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.349 with a FIP of 4.35 as a squad this season. They are sitting at 15th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,190. The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 683 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 4.37 (628 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.47 (1,364 strikeouts against 553 free passes). They have allowed 186 long balls and they allow 4.76 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball).

With 132 save situations, the Reds have tallied 66 holds and also 25 blown saves. Cincinnati has had relievers step onto the mound in 64 save opportunities and they have earned 39 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 173 times in high leverage situations in addition to 147 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score percentage of 39.4% out of their 221 inherited runners. They rank 16th in the league holding a save percentage of 60.9%, and they have dispatched 513 relievers onto the field so far this year.

Out of their 11,631 innings on the diamond, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (22nd in professional baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 114 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (15th in pro baseball). The Reds have racked up 1,278 assists, 80 errors and have amassed 3,877 putouts over the course of the season.

In his MLB career, Castillo has given up 587 base knocks while totaling 749 strikeouts in 689 innings pitched. Castillo (39-48 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.77 ERA while giving up 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 289 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.215 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.98 and he has faced 2,867 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+145)

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