Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/18/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, September 18, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-217) Cincinnati (+165)

Sonny Gray and the Cincinnati Reds (76-71, 3rd in NL Central) play the Los Angeles Dodgers (94-53, 2nd in NL West) at Great American Ball Park on Saturday. The line on this game has the Dodgers priced at -217 and the Reds are at +165. The total has been set at 9. The starting pitchers are Max Scherzer and Sonny Gray.

The Dodgers have earned 228 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 207 balls out of the stadium. Los Angeles has a slugging % of .423 and have been called out on strikes 1,292 times, while taking a walk on 561 occasions. As a unit, the Los Angeles Dodgers are scoring 5.1 runs/g, which puts them at 5th in the league. They have recorded 714 RBI's and 1,195 base knocks so far this year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .242. They have 743 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .329.

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The Dodgers are sitting with a team ERA of 2.94 for the year (1st in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,457 hitters. Their K/BB ratio is 3.27 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.09. Dodgers pitchers have relinquished 147 home runs and 499 total runs (1st in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 445 opposing players and their FIP is 3.55 as a squad this year.

The Dodgers relief pitchers have a save percentage of 63.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 178 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 207 runners for the season and 21.7% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Dodgers relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 149 times and also have had 185 appearances in high leverage situations. The Dodgers have dispatched 540 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen have racked up 102 holds so far this season (2nd in the league). They have earned 47 saves on the season and have missed out on 27 out of their 74 save opportunities.

The Dodgers have converted 72.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 11,862 innings, which has them sitting at 1st in the majors. The Los Angeles Dodgers have a tally of 3,954 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,187 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .985 which is 15th in the majors, and have accumulated 924 double plays.

Scherzer has taken the hill for 2,519 innings and has earned 3,003 strikeouts in his MLB career. His ERA is 3.14 (880 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.082. He has allowed 2,053 hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) with 674 free passes. Scherzer (189-97 career mark) has a FIP of 3.12 while he has faced 10,192 hitters in the majors.

The Reds hold a slugging percentage of .427 and they average 4.84 runs per game (9th in MLB). They have hit 264 doubles, while walking 497 times and putting up 711 runs. Cincinnati has compiled 198 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 683 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,303 instances (11th in the league) and have totaled 1,221 base hits. The Cincinnati Reds have an on-base percentage of .327 as well as a team batting average of .248 over the course of the season.

The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.347 and have a FIP of 4.33 as a pitching staff so far this season. They are currently ranked 15th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,196. The Cincinnati pitching staff have yielded 683 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 4.34 (628 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.47 (1,374 strikeouts against 556 free passes). They have relinquished 186 homers and they surrender 4.72 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league).

Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 65 save chances and they have tallied 40 saves. They are ranked 16th in the league with a save rate of 61.5%, and they have dispatched 516 relief pitchers onto the field so far this season. Their relievers have come in 176 times in high leverage situations in addition to 147 occasions with runners on base. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 39.4% of 221 inherited base runners. Sitting with 135 save situations, the Reds have 68 holds and 25 blown saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 115 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (16th in professional baseball). The Reds have 1,288 assists, 81 errors and are sitting with 3,904 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 11,712 innings played, the Reds hold a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (22nd in the majors).

In his pro baseball career, Gray has surrendered 1,079 hits and he has 1,207 K's in 1,252 frames. Gray (82-70 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 3.56 earned run average and has surrendered 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 496 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.217 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.71 and he has faced 5,218 batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+165)

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