Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 4/12/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Monday, April 12, 2021
Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA
TV: Bally Sports South
Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+145) Atlanta (-170)
Max Fried and the Atlanta Braves (3-4, 3rd in NL East) play the Miami Marlins (1-6, 5th in NL East) at Truist Park on Monday. The line on this contest has the Marlins coming in at +145 and the Braves are at -170. The over/under opens at 9. The starting pitchers are Sandy Alcantara and Max Fried.
The Marlins have tallied 10 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 2 balls out of the park. Miami has a slugging rate of .299 and have been rung up 58 times, while drawing a walk on 24 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are scoring 3.0 runs per outing, which is 26th in MLB. They have accrued 18 RBI's and 47 hits this year, while their team batting average is sitting at .210. They have a total of 21 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .290.
The Marlins have compiled a team earned run average of 4.20 on the season (19th in the league), and the staff has struck out 66 hitters. They have walked 26 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.58 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.54 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 10 long balls and 32 runs in total (12th in MLB).
The Marlins have sent 29 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 5 runners this season and 60.0% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have blown 3 of 3 save opportunities. The Marlins bullpen have entered the game in 7 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 4 holds on the year (12th in MLB). Marlins pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 3 times as well as having 9 appearances in high leverage situations.
Alcantara has taken the hill for 293 innings and is sitting with 247 K's so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.62 (118 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.304. He has surrendered 254 base knocks (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 129 free passes. Alcantara (11-20 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.38 while he has faced 1,243 hitters during his time in the major leagues.
The Atlanta Braves hold a team on-base percentage of .262 in addition to a team batting average of .194 on the year. They have struck out on 71 occasions (13th in the league) and have recorded 42 base hits. Atlanta has recorded 10 home runs on the year and 23 runs batted in. The Braves have a team slugging percentage of .373 and they are recording 3.57 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have hit 9 two-baggers, while getting a free base 19 times as well as scoring 25 runs.
The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.352 in addition to having a FIP of 2.88 as a team over the course of the season. They are sitting at 15th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 52. The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 22 runs for the season while having an ERA of 3.04 (19 earned runs conceded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.96 (71 strikeouts against 24 bases on balls). They have given up 3 HR's and they allow 3.52 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league).
Sitting with 7 save situations, the Braves have earned 4 holds in addition to 1 blown save. Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 3 save chances and they have tallied 2 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 16 times in high leverage situations and also on 4 occasions with base runners. Atlanta bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 0.0% out of their 8 inherited runners. They are ranked 9th in baseball holding a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have sent 26 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.
During his pro baseball career, Fried has allowed 286 base knocks while he has earned 300 punch outs in 288 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 117 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.342 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.97 and he has faced 1,228 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. Fried (26-11 career record) has a 3.65 earned run average while conceding 8.9 hits per 9 innings.
Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-170)
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