Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 4/14/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Wednesday, April 14, 2021
Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA
TV: Bally Sports South
Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+150) Atlanta (-227)
Truist Park is the venue where Charlie Morton and the Atlanta Braves (4-6, 3rd in NL East) will play the Miami Marlins (3-6, 4th in NL East) on Wednesday. The Marlins open this game at +150 while the Braves are coming in at -227. The over/under is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Nick Neidert and Charlie Morton.
Miami is slugging .325 and have been rung up 84 times, while being walked on 31 occasions. They have accrued 26 RBI's and 63 base knocks on the year, and their average at the plate comes in at .214. The Marlins have compiled 17 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 4 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 29 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .291. As a squad, the Miami Marlins are putting up 3.2 runs per contest, which has them at 26th in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have given up 10 home runs in addition to 35 total runs (21st in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 33 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.08 as a team so far this year. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.64 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.09. The Marlins hold a team ERA of 3.55 on the year (9th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 87 batters.
Marlins bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 5 times and also have had 15 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 6 holds this year (10th in baseball). The Marlins relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 25.0% and stepped onto the hill in 10 save situations. They have recorded 1 save so far this year and have blown 3 out of their 4 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 9 base runners over the course of the season with 44.4% of them crossed home plate. The Marlins have sent 36 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.
Neidert has taken the hill for 12 innings and is sitting with 7 strikeouts in his career. Neidert (0-0 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.75 while going up against 54 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.26 (6 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.579. He has conceded 13 hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has 7 free passes.
The Atlanta Braves have a team on-base percentage of .273 and a batting average of .206 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 92 instances (14th in baseball) and have a total of 65 hits. Atlanta has accumulated 14 HRs this season to go along with 37 runs batted in. The Braves have a slugging percentage of .400 and they tally 3.90 runs per game (21st in baseball). They have put up 17 two-baggers, while taking a walk 26 times and recording 39 runs.
The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 38 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 3.63 (34 earned runs given up). They have conceded 9 homers and they surrender 4.06 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.259 in addition to having a FIP of 3.47 as a squad for the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 3.13 (100 strikeouts against 32 walks). They are currently ranked 16th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 74.
With 12 save situations, the Braves have accrued 7 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. Atlanta has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 5 save opportunities and they have recorded 3 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 25 times in high leverage situations and on 6 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 20.0% out of their 10 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 14th in MLB holding a save rate of 60.0%, and they have sent 38 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the year.
Morton (94-90 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.08 ERA and has conceded 8.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.47 and he has faced 6,245 opposing batters during his career. He has conceded a total of 657 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.333 and having a FIP of 3.8. In his career, Morton has surrendered 1,412 base knocks while totaling 1,288 strikeouts in 1,450 frames.
Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-227)
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