Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 4/15/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Thursday, April 15, 2021

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+174) Atlanta (-189)

Trevor Rogers and the Miami Marlins (4-6, 3rd in NL East) are headed to Truist Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Atlanta Braves (4-7, 4th in NL East). The moneyline on this matchup has the Marlins coming in at +174 and the Braves are at -189. The O/U has been set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Trevor Rogers and Ian Anderson.

As a squad, the Miami Marlins are knocking in 4.3 runs per outing, which puts them at 15th in the league. They have accumulated 43 runs while holding a team OBP of .312. The Marlins have tallied 22 doubles as a team and have hit 7 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 40 RBI's as well as 80 hits on the campaign, while their batting average comes in at .236. Miami is slugging .375 and have struck out 92 times, while drawing a walk on 34 occasions.

The Marlins have compiled a team ERA of 3.80 this year (11th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 99 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.68 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.14. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 12 home runs in addition to 43 total runs (19th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 37 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.17 as a squad this season.

The Marlins have dispatched 42 relievers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 12 base runners on the campaign with 33.3% of those players earned a run for their team. They have recorded 1 save over the course of the season and have blown 3 of their 4 save opportunities. The Marlins relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 25.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 10 save situations. The relief pitchers have 6 holds on the campaign (11th in the league). Marlins pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 7 times in addition to having 15 appearances in high leverage situations.

Rogers (2-3 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 3.65 while he has faced 170 batters in the major leagues. He has given up 37 base knocks (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has 19 free passes. His ERA is 4.97 (21 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.474. Rogers has thrown 38 innings and has earned 55 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Braves hold a team slugging % of .415 and they have an average of 4.27 runs per game (16th in the league). They have recorded 20 doubles, while getting a free base 30 times and scoring 47 runs. Atlanta has accumulated 16 home runs on the season as well as 43 RBIs. They have struck out on 104 occasions (13th in baseball) and have totaled 77 base hits. The Atlanta Braves have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .286 in addition to a batting average of .218 over the course of the season.

The Atlanta pitching staff have surrendered 52 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 4.54 (47 earned runs allowed). They have given up 12 long balls and they give up 5.02 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). The Braves are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.352 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.85 as a squad this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.09 (108 strikeouts against 35 walks). They come in at 9th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 91.

Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 16.7% out of 12 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 25 times in high leverage situations and also on 7 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 12 save situations, the Braves have earned 7 holds and 2 blown saves. They are ranked 14th in MLB holding a save rate of 60.0%, and they have sent 41 relievers to the hill for the year. Atlanta has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 5 save opportunities and they have walked away with 3 saves.

Anderson (3-2 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 2.53 ERA while surrendering 6.3 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.18 and he has gone up against 180 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed 12 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.102 and a FIP of 3.2. So far in his career, Anderson has conceded 30 hits while earning 54 punch outs in 42 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+174)

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