Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, September 11, 2021

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+225) Atlanta (-312)

Charlie Morton and the Atlanta Braves (74-65, 1st in NL East) host the Miami Marlins (59-81, 4th in NL East) at Truist Park on Saturday. The Marlins open this contest at +225 while the Braves are coming in at -312. The over/under is set at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers are Elieser Hernandez and Charlie Morton.

As a unit, the Miami Marlins are scoring 4.0 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 27th in MLB. They have tallied 553 runs while holding a team OBP of .302. The Marlins have compiled 204 doubles as a team and have hit 133 balls out of the park. They have recorded 527 runs batted in in addition to 1,091 hits on the year, and their average at the plate is at .235. Miami owns a slugging percentage of .373 and have been called out on strikes 1,343 times, while drawing a walk on 400 occasions.

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Marlins pitchers have relinquished 142 home runs and 589 runs (13th in MLB). They have walked 451 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.03 as a team so far this season. Their K/BB ratio is 2.63 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25. The Marlins are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.87 over the course of the season (11th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,186 batters.

The Marlins have dispatched 512 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relievers have inherited 163 runners for the season and 36.2% of them earned a run for their team. They have earned 27 saves for the season and have blown 24 out of their 51 save chances. The Marlins relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 52.9% and has entered the game in 115 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 64 holds so far this year (19th in the league). Marlins pitchers have come into the game with players on base 108 times and also have had 158 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Miami Marlins have earned a total of 3,677 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,257 assists and 99 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .980 which is 30th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 956 double plays. The Marlins have converted 69.7% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,031 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 16th in the majors.

Hernandez (7-13 career record) sits with a FIP of 5.28 and he has gone up against 879 batters in the majors. He has given up 194 base knocks (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 64 walks. His ERA is 4.67 (107 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.252. Hernandez has taken the hill for 206 frames and has racked up 197 K's during his career.

The Braves hold a team slugging percentage of .435 and they score 4.89 runs per game (8th in baseball). They have put up 222 doubles, while walking 490 times as well as recording 680 runs. Atlanta has a total of 211 home runs this season as well as 655 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,239 occasions (12th in baseball) and have a total of 1,115 base knocks. The Atlanta Braves have accounted for an OBP of .320 as well as a team batting average of .242 on the year.

The Atlanta pitching staff have relinquished 584 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.01 (540 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 160 dingers and they relinquish 4.33 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league). The Braves have a WHIP of 1.270 and have a FIP of 4.12 as a team on the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.71 (1,226 strikeouts against 452 walks). They are sitting at 13th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,089.

With 157 save situations, the Braves have tallied 100 holds and also 23 blown saves. Atlanta has called on relievers to enter the game in 56 save opportunities and they have tallied 33 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 196 times in high leverage situations in addition to 114 occasions with base runners. Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.5% out of their 168 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 20th in MLB with a save rate of 58.9%, and they have sent 498 relievers to the hill on the year.

In 10,917 innings on the diamond, the Braves have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (9th in MLB). The Atlanta Braves have turned 90 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (3rd in professional baseball). The Braves have accrued 1,270 assists, 63 errors and are sitting with 3,639 putouts for the year.

Morton (106-94 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 4.02 ERA while giving up 8.6 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.57 and he has faced 6,846 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 714 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.307 and having a FIP of 3.7. During his pro baseball career, Morton has given up 1,519 base knocks while he has tallied 1,461 strikeouts in 1,597 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-312)

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