Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 8/20/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, August 20, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+170) Cincinnati (-222)

Sonny Gray and the Cincinnati Reds (65-57, 2nd in NL Central) play the Miami Marlins (51-70, 5th in NL East) at Great American Ball Park on Friday. The moneyline on this game has the Marlins coming in at +170 and the Reds are at -222. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Elieser Hernandez and Sonny Gray.

Miami has a slugging % of .380 and have been called out on strikes 1,168 times, while taking a walk on 346 occasions. They have accrued 466 RBI's and 958 base knocks on the campaign, while their average at the plate is sitting at .237. The Marlins have hit 176 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 122 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 490 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .304. As a squad, the Miami Marlins are recording 4.1 runs per game, which is 26th in baseball.

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The Marlins hold a team earned run average of 3.91 for the year (11th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,031 hitters. They have walked 401 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.97 as a unit this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27. Marlins pitchers have given up 116 home runs and 513 runs in total (13th in the league).

The Marlins have dispatched 449 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have inherited 138 runners so far this year with 38.4% of those runners crossed home plate. They have 23 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 23 of 46 save opportunities. The Marlins relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 50.0% and has come into the game in 106 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 60 holds on the campaign (17th in the league). Marlins relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 89 times as well as having 133 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Marlins have turned 69.4% of balls hit into play into outs in their 9,540 innings on the field, which ranks them 17th in professional baseball. The Miami Marlins are sitting with 3,180 putouts this year, in addition to 1,075 assists and 83 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .981 which ranks 29th in professional baseball, and have 824 double plays.

Hernandez has taken the mound for 186 innings and is sitting with 177 strikeouts so far in his career. Hernandez (6-12 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 5.19 and he has gone up against 792 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.69 (97 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.250. He has given up 174 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 59 walks.

Cincinnati has 169 long balls on the season to go along with 592 RBIs. They have recorded 221 two-baggers, while taking a walk 430 times as well as earning 616 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have tallied a team OBP of .334 and a team batting average of .253 this season. The Reds have a team slugging % of .433 and they average 5.05 runs per game (5th in baseball). They have struck out on 1,103 occasions (9th in baseball) and have recorded 1,044 base knocks.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 589 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.47 (541 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 159 home runs and they relinquish 4.87 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.381 with a FIP of 4.43 as a pitching staff on the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.36 (1,167 strikeouts against 494 free passes). They rank 20th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,009.

Sitting with 119 save situations, the Reds have 60 holds in addition to 24 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 57 save opportunities and they have recorded 33 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 152 times in high leverage situations in addition to 133 occasions with runners on base. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 39.1% out of their 197 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 21st in MLB holding a save percentage of 57.9%, and they have dispatched 443 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Cincinnati Reds have twisted 91 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (14th in the majors). The Reds have 1,063 assists, 67 errors and have earned 3,266 putouts over the course of the season. In 9,798 innings played, the Reds hold a efficiency on defense of 68.8% (23rd in the majors).

During his career, Gray has conceded 1,067 hits while he has earned 1,179 strikeouts in 1,222 innings pitched. Gray (79-69 career record) holds a 3.61 earned run average and has given up 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 490 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.233 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.68 and he has faced 5,108 batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-222)

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