Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 4/26/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Monday, April 26, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+107) Milwaukee (-116)

Trevor Rogers and the Miami Marlins (9-11, 4th in NL East) are headed to American Family Field on Monday where they'll take on the Milwaukee Brewers (12-8, 1st in NL Central). The moneyline on this contest has the Marlins coming in at +107 and the Brewers are at -116. The over/under opens at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Trevor Rogers and Corbin Burnes.

The Marlins have tallied 32 doubles as a unit and have hit 13 balls out of the park. Miami is slugging .355 and have struck out 181 times, while being walked on 59 occasions. As a squad, the Miami Marlins are knocking in 4.1 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 19th in the league. They have 74 runs batted in in addition to 148 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average sits at .232. They have accumulated 77 runs while holding a team OBP of .304.

The Marlins have an earned run average of 3.75 over the course of the season (9th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 171 hitters. They have walked 68 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.12 as a team on the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.51 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.16. Marlins pitchers have conceded 21 home runs and also 78 runs in total (9th in baseball).

Marlins relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 15 times as well as having 27 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 7 holds this year (22nd in the league). The Marlins relievers have a save percentage of 36.4% and has come into the game in 18 save situations. They have accumulated 4 saves for the season and have missed out on 7 of their 11 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 22 runners so far this year and 36.4% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Marlins have sent 75 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The Marlins have converted 73.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of 1,536 innings, which has them ranked 2nd in the majors. The Miami Marlins have earned 512 putouts on the year, as well as 168 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which puts them in 10th in baseball, and they have turned 131 double plays.

Rogers (3-3 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.47 and he has gone up against 217 hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 44 base hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 23 walks. His ERA is 4.14 (23 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.340. Rogers has taken the ball for 50 frames and has 70 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Milwaukee Brewers have an on-base percentage of .297 in addition to a batting average of .210 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 207 occasions (2nd in MLB) and have tallied 133 base hits. Milwaukee has accumulated 25 home runs for the year to go along with 78 RBIs. The Brewers have a team slugging percentage of .368 and they score 4.26 runs per contest (17th in the league). They have hit 19 two-baggers, while taking a walk 64 times as well as putting up 81 runs.

The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.129 and have a FIP of 3.77 as a squad so far this season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.89 (191 strikeouts against 66 bases on balls). They rank 4th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 127. They have allowed 20 dingers and they yield 3.68 runs per 9 innings (4th in baseball). The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 70 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 3.37 (64 earned runs conceded).

Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.4% of 17 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 23 times in high leverage situations in addition to 12 occasions with runners on base. With 15 save situations, the Brewers have amassed 8 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. They are ranked 17th in MLB with a save percentage of 57.1%, and they have sent 64 relievers onto the diamond on the season. Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 7 save opportunities and they have walked away with 4 saves.

In 1,539 innings on the field, the Brewers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 72.6% (3rd in pro baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 16 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .984 (13th in MLB). The Brewers have recorded 160 assists, 11 errors and have 513 putouts during this campaign.

During his MLB career, Burnes has given up 142 base knocks while he has earned 233 punch outs in 171 innings. Burnes (14-7 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.89 earned run average and has allowed 7.5 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 74 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.152 and a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio is 4.24 and he has faced 712 batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+107)

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