Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 4/27/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Tuesday, April 27, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+140) Milwaukee (-160)

American Family Field is the site where Adrian Houser and the Milwaukee Brewers (13-8, 1st in NL Central) will take on the Miami Marlins (9-12, 4th in NL East) on Tuesday. The Marlins open this game at +140 while the Brewers are priced at -160. The O/U is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Daniel Castano and Adrian Houser.

Miami has a slugging rate of .358 and have been rung up 204 times, while taking a walk on 64 occasions. They have earned 82 runs batted in and 162 base knocks on the season, while their average at the plate is .230. The Marlins have accumulated 32 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 16 balls out of the stadium. They have racked up 85 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .303. As a team, the Miami Marlins are scoring 4.1 runs/g, which is 18th in MLB.

The Marlins have compiled a team earned run average of 3.70 on the season (9th in the league), and their staff has rung up 189 hitters. They have walked 72 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.98 as a unit so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.63 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.14. Marlins pitchers have conceded 22 home runs and 84 total runs (8th in the league).

Marlins bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 15 times as well as having 29 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have tallied 7 holds over the course of the season (23rd in the league). The Marlins relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 36.4% and has entered the game in 18 save situations. They have accumulated 4 saves so far this year and have blown 7 of their 11 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 22 base runners for the season and 36.4% of those players crossed home plate. The Marlins have sent 83 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Miami Marlins have a total of 563 putouts this season, in addition to 184 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .984 which puts them in 12th in professional baseball, and have 142 double plays. The Marlins have transformed 73.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,689 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 2nd in MLB.

Castano (1-3 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.58 and he has faced 166 batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 38 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has 15 walks. His earned run average is 3.18 (14 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.336. Castano has thrown 39 innings and has 14 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Brewers have a slugging percentage of .363 and they are recording 4.33 runs per game (16th in the league). They have recorded 24 doubles, while walking 75 times as well as scoring 91 runs. Milwaukee has knocked in 26 home runs for the year as well as 88 runs batted in. They have struck out on 229 instances (2nd in the league) and have accounted for 147 hits. The Milwaukee Brewers hold a team OBP of .301 as well as a batting average of .209 this year.

The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.116 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.64 as a team on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.96 (213 strikeouts against 72 walks). They are sitting at 3rd in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 139. They have allowed 21 HR's and they surrender 3.48 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The Milwaukee pitching staff have relinquished 73 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 3.19 (67 earned runs yielded).

Milwaukee has had relief pitchers enter the game in 8 save opportunities and they have earned 5 saves. They are ranked 15th in baseball with a save rate of 62.5%, and they have sent 71 relievers to the hill this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 28 times in high leverage situations in addition to 12 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 29.4% out of 17 inherited base runners. With 20 save situations, the Brewers have accumulated 12 holds and also 3 blown saves.

In 1,701 innings played, the Brewers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 72.6% (4th in pro baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 18 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (10th in the majors). The Brewers have 177 assists, 11 errors and have accounted for 567 putouts on the campaign.

In his MLB career, Houser has conceded 198 base hits while he has tallied 181 K's in 202 innings pitched. Houser (8-15 career mark) is the owner of a 4.05 earned run average and has given up 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 91 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.356 and having a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 2.38 and he has faced 855 batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+140)

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