Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 4/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+145) Milwaukee (-155)

Eric Lauer and the Milwaukee Brewers (13-9, 1st in NL Central) play the Miami Marlins (10-12, 4th in NL East) at American Family Field on Wednesday. The line on this matchup has the Marlins coming in at +145 and the Brewers are at -155. The total opens at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Sandy Alcantara and Eric Lauer.

Miami has a slugging rate of .368 and have struck out 219 times, while taking a walk on 66 occasions. They have compiled 89 runs batted in and 174 hits on the year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .235. The Marlins have compiled 35 doubles as a squad and have hit 18 balls out of the stadium. They have earned a total of 93 runs and hold an OBP of .306. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are knocking in 4.2 runs per contest, which puts them at 16th in baseball.

Marlins pitchers have yielded 22 home runs and 84 total runs (7th in MLB). They have walked 72 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.84 as a team for the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.76 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.13. The Marlins have compiled a team earned run average of 3.53 over the course of the season (9th in baseball), and they have struck out 199 batters.

Marlins pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 15 times in addition to having 29 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 7 holds this season (23rd in the league). The Marlins relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 36.4% and has come into the game in 18 save situations. They have accumulated 4 saves this season and have blown 7 of their 11 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 22 runners for the year with 36.4% of them ended up scoring. The Marlins have dispatched 85 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The Marlins have turned 72.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 1,770 innings on the diamond, ranking them 3rd in pro baseball. The Miami Marlins have amassed 590 putouts on the year, in addition to 191 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .984 which has them sitting 15th in pro baseball, and have a total of 148 double plays.

Alcantara has taken the hill for 311 frames and has totaled 262 K's in his pro baseball career. Alcantara (11-21 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.38 and he has gone up against 1,316 opposing batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.67 (127 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.298. He has surrendered 268 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 136 free passes.

Milwaukee has a total of 26 home runs this season to go along with 88 runs batted in. They have 24 doubles, while taking a walk 75 times as well as earning 91 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers have an on-base percentage of .301 as well as a team batting average of .213 for the year. The Brewers hold a slugging percentage of .360 and they are earning 4.14 runs per game (18th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 239 occasions (2nd in baseball) and have 156 base hits.

The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.131 with a FIP of 3.64 as a unit this season. They are sitting at 5th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 150. The Milwaukee pitching staff have conceded 81 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.36 (74 earned runs given up). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.08 (228 strikeouts against 74 free passes). They have given up 23 dingers and they concede 3.68 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball).

With 20 save situations, the Brewers have accrued 12 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 8 save chances and they have recorded 5 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 28 times in high leverage situations and on 13 occasions with base runners. Milwaukee bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.6% out of their 19 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 15th in MLB holding a save percentage of 62.5%, and they have sent 74 relievers onto the field on the year.

In their 1,782 innings on the diamond, the Brewers hold a defensive efficiency of 71.8% (7th in MLB). The Milwaukee Brewers have twisted 18 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (11th in baseball). The Brewers have accrued 182 assists, 12 errors and have a total of 594 putouts over the course of the season.

In his career, Lauer has conceded 302 hits while totaling 250 strikeouts in 272 innings. He has given up a total of 144 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.496 and a FIP of 4.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.36 and he has gone up against 1,216 hitters in his pro baseball career. Lauer (14-19 record in his career) has a 4.75 ERA and has conceded 10.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+145)

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