Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/10/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, April 10, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+230) New York (-370)

Citi Field is the venue where Jacob deGrom and the New York Mets (2-2, 2nd in NL East) will play the Miami Marlins (1-6, 5th in NL East) on Saturday. The Mets open this game at -370 while the Marlins are coming in at +230. The total has been set at 7. The starting pitchers will be Trevor Rogers and Jacob deGrom.

Miami is slugging .299 and have struck out 58 times, while drawing a walk on 24 occasions. They have 18 RBI's and 47 hits on the season, and their batting average comes in at .210. The Marlins have tallied 10 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 2 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 21 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .290. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are knocking in 3.0 runs/g, which ranks them 26th in the league.

The Marlins hold a team earned run average of 4.20 this year (18th in the league), and the staff has rung up 66 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 26 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.64 as a unit so far this season. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.54 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.19. Marlins pitchers have conceded 10 home runs in addition to 32 runs (11th in MLB).

The Marlins bullpen has entered the game in 7 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 5 base runners this year with 60.0% of those runners ended up scoring. Marlins pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 3 times in addition to having 9 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 29 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have notched 4 holds this season (12th in the league). They have blown all 3 of their save opportunities.

Rogers (1-3 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.20 while he has gone up against 148 hitters in the majors. He has given up 34 base knocks (9.6 hits per nine innings) with 17 free passes. His earned run average is 5.91 (21 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.594. Rogers has pitched in 32 innings and has accumulated 45 K's during his pro baseball career.

New York has 3 HRs this season to go along with 14 runs batted in. They have put up 6 doubles, while getting a free base 22 times and earning 16 runs. The New York Mets have an on-base percentage of .364 as well as a batting average of .246 this year. The Mets hold a team SLG% of .373 and they are earning 4.00 runs per game (15th in the league). They have struck out on 33 instances (29th in baseball) and are sitting with 33 hits.

The New York pitching staff have yielded 19 runs for the season while having an ERA of 3.97 (15 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 4 long balls and they allow 5.03 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.265 and have a FIP of 4.22 as a unit this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.75 (33 strikeouts against 12 bases on balls). They come in at 28th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 31.

New York has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 1 save chance. They have dispatched 12 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the year. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 3 times in high leverage situations and on 2 occasions with base runners. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 100% out of their 5 inherited runners. With 3 save situations, the Mets have accumulated 2 holds in addition to 1 blown save.

deGrom (70-51 record in his career) holds a 2.60 earned run average while allowing 7.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.78 and he has faced 4,675 opposing batters so far in his career. He has conceded a total of 339 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.046 and having a FIP of 2.8. During his career, deGrom has surrendered 944 hits while totaling 1,366 K's in 1,175 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-370)

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