Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, April 11, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+220) New York (-255)

Citi Field is the venue where Marcus Stroman and the New York Mets (2-2, 2nd in NL East) will play the Miami Marlins (1-6, 5th in NL East) on Sunday. The Mets open this game at -255 while the Marlins are coming in at +220. The O/U opens at 7. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Daniel Castano and Marcus Stroman.

As a unit, the Miami Marlins are scoring 3.0 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 26th in the league. They have tallied 21 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .290. The Marlins have accumulated 10 doubles as a team and have hit 2 balls out of the park. They have earned 18 RBI's in addition to 47 hits this year, and their team batting average sits at .210. Miami owns a slugging percentage of .299 and have been called out on strikes 58 times, while being walked on 24 occasions.

The Marlins have a team ERA of 4.20 for the season (19th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 66 batters. They have walked 26 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.58 as a squad so far this year. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.54 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.19. Marlins pitchers have allowed 10 home runs in addition to 32 total runs (12th in the league).

The Marlins bullpen has entered the game in 7 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 5 base runners this season and 60.0% of those players ended up scoring. Marlins relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 3 times and also have had 9 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 29 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have notched 4 holds on the season (12th in the league).

Castano has taken the mound for 29 innings and has accounted for 12 K's during his MLB career. Castano (1-2 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.81 and he has faced 126 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.03 (10 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.382. He has allowed 30 base knocks (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 11 free passes.

The Mets hold a team slugging % of .373 and they have an average of 4.00 runs per contest (15th in baseball). They have put up 6 doubles, while walking 22 times as well as scoring 16 runs. New York has 3 HRs over the course of the season as well as 14 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 33 instances (30th in baseball) and have a total of 33 base hits. The New York Mets have earned a team OBP of .364 in addition to a batting average of .246 this year.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.265 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.17 as a squad this year. They sit at 29th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 31. The New York pitching staff have allowed 19 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.97 (15 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.75 (33 strikeouts against 12 bases on balls). They have given up 4 dingers and they concede 5.03 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB).

New York has had bullpen pitchers have blown 1 save. They have sent 12 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 3 times in high leverage situations in addition to 2 occasions with runners on base. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 100% of 5 inherited runners. With 3 save situations, the Mets have accrued 2 holds in addition to 1 blown save.

So far in his pro baseball career, Stroman has allowed 856 base hits and he has 698 punch outs in 855 frames. Stroman (52-47 career mark) is the owner of a 3.75 ERA while conceding 9.0 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 356 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.288 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.84 and he has faced 3,573 hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+220)

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