Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, September 1, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+180) New York (-238)

Carlos Carrasco and the New York Mets (63-67, 3rd in NL East) host the Miami Marlins (55-76, 5th in NL East) at Citi Field on Wednesday. The Mets open this contest at -238 while the Marlins are coming in at +180. The O/U has been set at 7. The expected starting pitchers are Zach Thompson and Carlos Carrasco.

Miami has a slugging percentage of .377 and have been called out on strikes 1,254 times, while being walked on 376 occasions. They have 495 RBI's as well as 1,028 hits on the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .236. The Marlins have tallied 192 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 128 balls out of the stadium. They have 519 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .303. As a squad, the Miami Marlins are scoring 4.0 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 27th in baseball.

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The Marlins have an ERA of 3.91 on the campaign (12th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,112 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 427 opposing players and their FIP is 4.00 as a unit on the season. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.60 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.26. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 130 long balls and also 555 runs in total (14th in MLB).

The Marlins relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 52.1% and has come into the game in 110 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 146 runners this year and 37.7% of those players crossed the plate. Marlins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 96 times as well as having 138 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 478 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have notched 62 holds so far this year (17th in MLB). They have tallied 25 saves on the season and have blown 23 out of their 48 chances to save the game.

The Marlins have transformed 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 10,323 innings, which has them sitting 19th in the majors. The Miami Marlins have accumulated 3,441 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,172 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .981 which has them sitting 29th in the majors, and have accumulated 898 double plays.

Thompson has taken the mound for 62 innings and has earned 52 K's during his career. His ERA is 3.16 (22 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.117. He has allowed 48 base knocks (6.9 hits per nine innings) with 22 walks. Thompson (2-6 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.90 while he has gone up against 257 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

New York has tallied 137 home runs for the year and 465 runs batted in. They have put up 176 two-baggers, while taking a walk 398 times as well as scoring 488 runs. The New York Mets have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .312 as well as a team batting average of .235 so far this year. The Mets have a team slugging % of .381 and they are recording 3.75 runs per outing (29th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,111 occasions (21st in MLB) and have totaled 976 base knocks.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.203 in addition to having a FIP of 3.96 as a staff so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.15 (1,167 strikeouts vs 371 walks). They have a ranking of 3rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 956. They have allowed 149 home runs and they concede 4.21 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The New York pitching staff have surrendered 516 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 3.76 (461 earned runs given up).

New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.5% of 157 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 129 times in high leverage situations and on 103 occasions with runners on base. With 110 save situations, the Mets have 55 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. They are currently ranked 11th in baseball holding a save rate of 63.0%, and they have sent 421 relievers onto the field for the year. New York has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 54 save chances and they have come away with 34 saves.

The New York Mets have turned 96 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in baseball). The Mets have 1,048 assists, 64 errors and have 3,310 putouts on the campaign. In 9,930 innings played, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (8th in pro baseball).

Carrasco (88-75 mark in his career) has earned a 3.83 earned run average while allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.09 and he has gone up against 5,215 hitters during his career. He has surrendered 538 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.198 and having a FIP of 3.5. So far in his pro baseball career, Carrasco has given up 1,191 hits while totaling 1,328 K's in 1,265 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-238)

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