Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/29/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets
Date: Wednesday, September 29, 2021
Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY
Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+170) New York (-222)
Taijuan Walker and the New York Mets (73-82, 3rd in NL East) play the Miami Marlins (64-91, 5th in NL East) at Citi Field on Wednesday. The Marlins open this matchup at +170 while the Mets are priced at -222. The total has been set at 7. The starting pitchers are Elieser Hernandez and Taijuan Walker.
Miami has a slugging % of .375 and have been called out on strikes 1,489 times, while taking a walk on 430 occasions. They have accounted for 579 runs batted in in addition to 1,203 base knocks for the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .234. The Marlins have earned 223 doubles as a squad and have smacked 153 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 606 runs and have an on-base percentage of .299. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are notching 3.9 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 27th in MLB.
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The Marlins have compiled a team ERA of 3.94 for the season (10th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,309 hitters. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.56 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.28. Marlins pitchers have allowed 153 home runs and also 670 runs in total (13th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 511 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.01 as a unit this season.
Marlins bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 127 times in addition to having 177 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 67 holds this year (24th in the league). The Marlins bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 54.5% and has come into the game in 122 save situations. They have earned 30 saves on the season and have not converted 25 of 55 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 197 runners so far this year with 36.5% of those players crossed home plate. The Marlins have dispatched 567 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.
The Miami Marlins have a tally of 4,070 putouts this year, in addition to 1,387 assists and 117 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .979 which ranks 30th in the majors, and they have turned 1,059 double plays. The Marlins have turned 69.0% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,210 innings on the diamond, ranking them 21st in the majors.
Hernandez has taken the hill for 220 innings and has earned 211 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Hernandez (7-15 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 5.30 and he has faced 948 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.70 (115 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.293. He has surrendered 213 base knocks (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has 72 free passes.
The Mets have a team slugging % of .388 and they are scoring 3.91 runs per contest (28th in baseball). They have put up 216 doubles, while walking 475 times as well as scoring 606 runs. New York has hit 168 home runs for the year to go along with 575 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,335 occasions (21st in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,188 hits. The New York Mets have accounted for an on-base percentage of .314 and a team batting average of .238 this season.
The New York pitching staff have surrendered 645 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 3.92 (575 earned runs yielded). They have surrendered 182 long balls and they concede 4.40 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league). The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.237 with a FIP of 4.04 as a unit so far this year. Their K/BB ratio is 3.04 (1,387 strikeouts vs 457 free passes). They are sitting at 4th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,176.
With 139 save situations, the Mets have compiled 70 holds in addition to 28 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 67 save opportunities and they have converted 39 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 167 times in high leverage situations and also on 129 occasions with runners on. New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 33.5% out of their 191 inherited runners. They are ranked 21st in the league with a save percentage of 58.2%, and they have dispatched 520 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the season.
The New York Mets have twisted 117 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (25th in MLB). The Mets have racked up 1,253 assists, 93 errors and have earned a total of 3,961 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 11,883 innings on the diamond, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (17th in professional baseball).
In his career, Walker has conceded 672 hits while he has earned 669 K's in 733 innings pitched. Walker (42-45 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.99 ERA and has surrendered 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 325 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.238 and having a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.83 and he has gone up against 3,097 hitters in his MLB career.
Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-222)
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