Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/18/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Tuesday, May 18, 2021
Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia
Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+129) Philadelphia (-139)
Citizens Bank Park is the venue where Zack Wheeler and the Philadelphia Phillies (21-20, 2nd in NL East) will take on the Miami Marlins (18-22, 4th in NL East) on Tuesday. The Marlins open this matchup at +129 while the Phillies are coming in at -139. The O/U is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Nick Neidert and Zack Wheeler.
Miami has a slugging rate of .368 and have struck out 392 times, while being walked on 112 occasions. They have 151 runs batted in as well as 304 hits on the season, while their team batting average comes in at .229. The Marlins have earned 58 doubles as a squad and have smacked 37 balls out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 158 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .296. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are compiling 4.0 runs per game, which puts them at 24th in the league.
The Marlins hold a team ERA of 3.55 on the campaign (8th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 348 batters. They have walked 119 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.70 as a unit for the year. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.92 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.19. Marlins pitchers have given up 36 home runs and also 153 total runs (8th in MLB).
The Marlins relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 43.8% and has stepped onto the mound in 31 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 43 base runners on the campaign with 37.2% of them ended up crossing the plate. Marlins pitchers have entered the game with runners on 26 times as well as having 48 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 149 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have recorded 15 holds so far this season (24th in baseball). They have accumulated 7 saves so far this season and have blown 9 of 16 chances to get a save.
The Miami Marlins have notched a total of 1,058 putouts thus far, in addition to 339 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .982 which is 18th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 271 double plays. The Marlins have converted 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,174 innings on the field, which has them ranked 14th in pro baseball.
Neidert has taken the hill for 20 innings and has 12 K's thus far in his career. His earned run average is 6.20 (14 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.770. He has surrendered 23 base knocks (10.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 13 free passes. Neidert (0-1 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 6.60 and he has faced 91 opposing batters in the major leagues.
Philadelphia has knocked in 44 home runs so far this year to go along with 161 runs batted in. They have put up 57 two-baggers, while taking a walk 133 times and notching 170 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have an OBP of .311 in addition to a team batting average of .237 so far this season. The Phillies have a slugging percentage of .384 and they are recording 4.15 runs per game (19th in the league). They have struck out on 420 occasions (2nd in MLB) and have recorded 321 hits.
The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 177 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 4.21 (168 earned runs yielded). They have given up 53 homers and they allow 4.44 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB). The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.281 in addition to having a FIP of 4.16 as a unit so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.10 (369 strikeouts against 119 bases on balls). They rank 24th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 341.
Philadelphia has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 20 save opportunities and they have come away with 11 saves. They are ranked 21st in MLB holding a save percentage of 55.0%, and they have dispatched 125 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 59 times in high leverage situations in addition to 37 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 49.1% of 53 inherited base runners. With 41 save situations, the Phillies have 20 holds and also 9 blown saves.
In 3,231 innings played, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (22nd in MLB). The Philadelphia Phillies have twisted 37 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (9th in MLB). The Phillies have racked up 362 assists, 21 errors and have a total of 1,077 putouts this year.
In his pro baseball career, Wheeler has allowed 809 base hits while he has accumulated 835 punch outs in 874 innings. He has allowed 354 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.268 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.79 and he has gone up against 3,681 hitters in his career. Wheeler (51-42 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.65 ERA and has surrendered 8.3 hits per 9 innings.
Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-139)
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