Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Wednesday, May 19, 2021
Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia
Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+130) Philadelphia (-167)
Citizens Bank Park is the venue where Zach Eflin and the Philadelphia Phillies (21-20, 2nd in NL East) will take on the Miami Marlins (18-22, 4th in NL East) on Wednesday. The Phillies open this matchup at -167 while the Marlins are priced at +130. The over/under opens at 7.5. The men taking the mound are Trevor Rogers and Zach Eflin.
The Marlins have accrued 58 doubles as a team and have hit 37 balls out of the stadium. Miami has a slugging % of .369 and have been rung up 392 times, while drawing a walk on 112 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.0 runs per game, which has them at 24th in baseball. They have compiled 151 runs batted in in addition to 305 hits on the season, and their batting average comes in at .229. They have racked up 158 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .297.
The Marlins have a team ERA of 3.55 for the year (8th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 348 batters. They have walked 119 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.70 as a squad on the campaign. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.92 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 36 home runs in addition to 153 runs in total (6th in the league).
The Marlins have sent 149 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 43 runners on the year and 37.2% of those runners crossed home plate. They have accumulated 7 saves on the campaign and have blown 9 of 16 save opportunities. The Marlins bullpen have a save percentage of 43.8% and has entered the game in 31 save situations. The relievers have earned 15 holds for the year (24th in MLB). Marlins bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 26 times and also have had 48 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Marlins have turned 70.1% of baseballs in play into outs in their 3,174 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 14th in the majors. The Miami Marlins have a tally of 1,058 putouts thus far, as well as 339 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which is 19th in MLB, and they have turned 271 double plays.
Rogers has taken the mound for 72 innings and has 96 K's in his pro baseball career. Rogers (6-4 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.16 and he has gone up against 305 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.50 (28 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.278. He has conceded 62 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) with 30 walks.
Philadelphia is sitting with 44 HRs on the campaign to go along with 161 runs batted in. They have 57 two-baggers, while walking 133 times as well as putting up 170 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned an OBP of .311 and a team batting average of .237 on the season. The Phillies hold a slugging % of .384 and they are scoring 4.15 runs per contest (19th in MLB). They have struck out on 420 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have 321 hits.
The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 177 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.21 (168 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 53 long balls and they relinquish 4.44 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB). The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.281 and have a FIP of 4.15 as a unit this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.10 (369 strikeouts against 119 walks). They rank 23rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 341.
With 41 save situations, the Phillies have recorded 20 holds and 9 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 20 save chances and they have converted 11 saves. Their relievers have come in 59 times in high leverage situations and also on 37 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 49.1% out of 53 inherited base runners. They are ranked 22nd in the league with a save rate of 55.0%, and they have dispatched 125 relievers to the mound for the year.
In their 3,231 innings played, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (23rd in MLB). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 37 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (8th in pro baseball). The Phillies have recorded 362 assists, 21 errors and have notched a total of 1,077 putouts during this campaign.
In his career, Eflin has surrendered 563 base knocks while totaling 439 punch outs in 529 innings. He has given up a total of 268 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.317 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.28 and he has faced 2,258 opposing hitters during his career. Eflin (31-35 mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.56 ERA while giving up 9.6 hits per nine innings.
Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-167)
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