Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 6/29/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Tuesday, June 29, 2021
Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia
Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+100) Philadelphia (-125)
Vince Velasquez and the Philadelphia Phillies (36-39, 4th in NL East) play the Miami Marlins (33-44, 5th in NL East) at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has the Marlins coming in at +100 and the Phillies are at -125. The total has been set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Trevor Rogers and Vince Velasquez.
The Marlins have hit 108 doubles as a team and have smacked 73 baseballs out of the park. Miami has a slugging percentage of .370 and have been called out on strikes 737 times, while being walked on 227 occasions. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are compiling 3.9 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 25th in MLB. They have tallied 286 runs batted in in addition to 589 base knocks this season, while their team batting average is at .231. They have earned 301 runs scored and have an OBP of .300.
The Marlins have a team earned run average of 3.38 this season (6th in the league), and their staff has rung up 657 hitters. They have walked 222 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.51 as a team so far this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.96 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.17. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 60 home runs in addition to 284 total runs (3rd in the league).
The Marlins relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 46.7% and has come into the game in 65 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 70 runners over the course of the season with 35.7% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Marlins pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 49 times as well as having 85 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 273 relievers to the hill this year. The bullpen have a total of 35 holds on the season (17th in baseball). They have accumulated 14 saves so far this season and have blown 16 out of their 30 chances to get a save.
The Miami Marlins have accumulated 2,030 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 692 assists and 50 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .982 which has them sitting 25th in the majors, and they have turned 528 double plays. The Marlins have turned 70.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,090 innings, which has them ranked 14th in pro baseball.
Rogers has taken the ball for 114 frames and has accumulated 140 strikeouts so far in his career. His ERA is 3.06 (39 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.177. He has surrendered 94 base knocks (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 41 free passes. Rogers (8-6 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 2.91 while he has gone up against 473 hitters in the majors.
The Phillies hold a team slugging % of .387 and they are earning 4.25 runs per game (16th in baseball). They have recorded 116 doubles, while taking a walk 241 times and scoring 319 runs. Philadelphia has accumulated 79 long balls this year to go along with 307 RBIs. They have struck out on 715 occasions (10th in the league) and have earned a total of 595 base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with an OBP of .312 in addition to a team batting average of .239 on the campaign.
The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 331 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.15 (302 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 93 long balls and they yield 4.55 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB). The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.276 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.11 as a squad for the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.00 (691 strikeouts against 230 walks). They come in at 17th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 605.
With 70 save situations, the Phillies have earned 31 holds and also 20 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 37 save opportunities and they have earned 17 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 92 times in high leverage situations and on 65 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 40.8% of 98 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 29th in baseball holding a save percentage of 45.9%, and they have sent 232 relief pitchers onto the field for the year.
The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 71 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (22nd in MLB). The Phillies have accrued 662 assists, 46 errors and have a total of 1,964 putouts on the season. In their 5,892 innings played, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (23rd in the majors).
Velasquez (30-37 career record) has a 4.72 earned run average and has conceded 8.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.69 and he has faced 2,645 hitters thus far in his career. He has allowed a total of 322 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.379 and a FIP of 4.4. So far in his MLB career, Velasquez has surrendered 594 base knocks while he has tallied 679 punch outs in 613 innings.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Miami (+100) and over 8 runs
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Additional Resources:
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