Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 6/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, June 30, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+155) Philadelphia (-200)

Aaron Nola and the Philadelphia Phillies (36-40, 4th in NL East) host the Miami Marlins (33-44, 5th in NL East) at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday. The Marlins open this matchup at +155 while the Phillies are priced at -200. The over/under opens at 8. The starting pitchers are Cody Poteet and Aaron Nola.

Miami is slugging .370 and have struck out 737 times, while being walked on 227 occasions. They have earned 286 runs batted in and 589 hits over the course of the season, while their batting average sits at .231. The Marlins have compiled 108 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 73 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 301 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .300. As a team, the Miami Marlins are knocking in 3.9 runs per contest, which has them at 26th in baseball.

The Marlins have a team ERA of 3.37 this season (5th in the league), and they have rung up 657 batters. They have walked 222 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.51 as a team on the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.96 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.17. Marlins pitchers have conceded 60 home runs and 284 runs in total (2nd in baseball).

Marlins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 49 times in addition to having 85 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 35 holds so far this season (17th in the league). The Marlins relievers have compiled a save rate of 46.7% and has come into the game in 65 save situations. They have earned 14 saves so far this season and have not converted 16 of 30 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 70 runners on the season with 35.7% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Marlins have dispatched 273 relievers to the mound for the year.

The Miami Marlins have earned 2,030 putouts so far this season, as well as 692 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .982 which ranks 26th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 528 double plays. The Marlins have turned 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,090 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 14th in professional baseball.

Poteet has taken the mound for 30 frames and has accounted for 32 strikeouts in his MLB career. Poteet (2-3 record in his career) has a FIP of 5.59 while he has gone up against 132 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.99 (17 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.337. He has given up 25 base knocks (7.3 hits per 9 innings) with 16 walks.

Philadelphia has compiled 79 long balls for the season to go along with 311 runs batted in. They have tallied 119 doubles, while taking a walk 245 times and scoring 323 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have an on-base percentage of .312 as well as a team batting average of .239 on the season. The Phillies have a team slugging % of .386 and they are scoring 4.25 runs per game (16th in the league). They have been rung up on 724 occasions (8th in the league) and have earned a total of 603 base knocks.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.285 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.13 as a team so far this year. They rank 18th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 617. The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 343 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.21 (310 earned runs yielded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.00 (701 strikeouts against 234 bases on balls). They have conceded 95 homers and they concede 4.66 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league).

Philadelphia relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 41.0% of 100 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 93 times in high leverage situations and also on 67 occasions with base runners. With 71 save situations, the Phillies have tallied 31 holds and 21 blown saves. They are currently ranked 29th in the league with a save rate of 44.7%, and they have dispatched 236 relievers to the mound on the season. Philadelphia has called on relievers to take the mound in 38 save opportunities and they have come away with 17 saves.

Out of their 5,964 innings on the diamond, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (23rd in the majors). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 71 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in MLB). The Phillies have 666 assists, 47 errors and have amassed 1,988 putouts for the year.

In his MLB career, Nola has allowed 808 base knocks while he has accumulated 1,029 strikeouts in 933 innings pitched. Nola (63-44 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.52 ERA and has given up 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 365 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.166 and a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.68 and he has gone up against 3,844 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-200)

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