Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/18/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, July 18, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+124) Philadelphia (-141)

Trevor Rogers and the Miami Marlins (40-51, 5th in NL East) go to Citizens Bank Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Philadelphia Phillies (45-45, 2nd in NL East). The line on this contest has the Marlins coming in at +124 and the Phillies are at -141. The O/U is set at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Trevor Rogers and Zack Wheeler.

Miami owns a slugging percentage of .374 and have struck out 887 times, while being walked on 269 occasions. They have compiled 343 runs batted in as well as 707 base knocks on the campaign, while their batting average comes in at .234. The Marlins have accumulated 125 doubles as a team and have hit 90 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 362 runs scored and hold an OBP of .302. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are putting up 4.0 runs per contest, which puts them at 27th in MLB.

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Marlins pitchers have surrendered 72 long balls in addition to 341 runs in total (4th in the league). They have walked 279 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.57 as a squad over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.84 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.19. The Marlins have compiled a team ERA of 3.41 on the year (3rd in MLB), and their staff has rung up 793 hitters.

The Marlins relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 47.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 77 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 87 runners for the year and 36.8% of those players ended up scoring. Marlins relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 60 times in addition to having 102 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 325 relievers to the mound for the season. The relievers have earned 43 holds on the season (15th in the league). They have recorded 16 saves on the year and have blown 18 of their 34 save opportunities.

The Marlins have turned 69.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,176 innings on the field, ranking them 13th in pro baseball. The Miami Marlins have accounted for 2,392 putouts this year, as well as 793 assists and 64 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .980 which ranks 30th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 622 double plays.

Rogers has taken the ball for 129 frames and has 161 strikeouts during his MLB career. Rogers (8-8 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 2.89 while he has faced 537 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.13 (45 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.183. He has given up 106 base knocks (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 47 walks.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a team on-base percentage of .315 in addition to a team batting average of .240 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 840 occasions (9th in MLB) and have totaled 713 base hits. Philadelphia has 102 home runs on the season as well as 389 RBIs. The Phillies have a team SLG% of .398 and they are earning 4.52 runs per outing (13th in baseball). They have put up 143 doubles, while taking a walk 304 times as well as scoring 407 runs.

The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.301 with a FIP of 4.15 as a squad this season. They come in at 19th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 747. The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 420 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.40 (383 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 3.05 (830 strikeouts vs 272 free passes). They have conceded 114 homers and they concede 4.83 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB).

Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 44.5% out of 119 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 100 times in high leverage situations and also on 80 occasions with runners on. With 84 save situations, the Phillies have accumulated 37 holds and 22 blown saves. They sit at 28th in baseball with a save percentage of 48.8%, and they have sent 282 bullpen pitchers to the mound this year. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 43 save opportunities and they have earned 21 saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 82 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (17th in professional baseball). The Phillies have 791 assists, 53 errors and have notched a total of 2,351 putouts this season. Out of their 7,053 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.0% (25th in professional baseball).

Wheeler (54-45 career record) is the owner of a 3.51 earned run average and has conceded 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.96 and he has gone up against 3,942 batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 367 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.244 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. So far in his pro baseball career, Wheeler has allowed 857 base knocks while he has tallied 924 K's in 940 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-141)

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