Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/24/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Friday, September 24, 2021

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+235) Tampa Bay (-345)

Ryan Yarbrough and the Tampa Bay Rays (94-59, 1st in AL East) play the Miami Marlins (64-88, 4th in NL East) at Tropicana Field on Friday. The Marlins open this matchup at +235 while the Rays are priced at -345. The total opens at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Edward Cabrera and Ryan Yarbrough.

As a team, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.0 runs per contest, which puts them at 27th in MLB. They have 601 runs while holding a team OBP of .300. The Marlins have hit 218 doubles as a squad and have hit 151 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 574 RBI's as well as 1,182 base knocks on the season, while their average at the plate sits at .234. Miami has a slugging % of .376 and have been called out on strikes 1,465 times, while taking a walk on 425 occasions.

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Marlins pitchers have allowed 152 home runs and also 652 total runs (14th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 501 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.04 as a squad for the season. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.55 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.28. The Marlins have a team earned run average of 3.90 so far this year (9th in the league), and they have struck out 1,280 hitters.

The Marlins have dispatched 557 relievers to the mound this year. The relievers have inherited 196 base runners over the course of the season and 36.7% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have earned 30 saves for the year and have blown 25 out of their 55 chances to get a save. The Marlins bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 54.5% and has come into the game in 122 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 67 holds so far this year (23rd in baseball). Marlins pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 126 times in addition to having 177 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Miami Marlins have accumulated 3,998 putouts this year, in addition to 1,372 assists and 114 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .979 which has them sitting 30th in baseball, and they have twisted 1,039 double plays. The Marlins have turned 69.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of 11,994 innings, which has them ranked 20th in pro baseball.

Cabrera (0-2 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 7.29 and he has gone up against 92 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 20 hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 13 walks. His ERA is 5.31 (12 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.623. Cabrera has taken the mound for 20 innings and is sitting with 16 K's in his career.

The Tampa Bay Rays have tallied an OBP of .320 as well as a batting average of .241 this season. They have been rung up on 1,456 occasions (3rd in the league) and have totaled 1,253 hits. Tampa Bay has a total of 210 home runs so far this year as well as 764 RBIs. The Rays hold a team SLG% of .425 and they score 5.30 runs per contest (2nd in baseball). They have recorded 268 doubles, while getting a free base 553 times and notching 811 runs.

The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.183 in addition to having a FIP of 3.83 as a staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.35 (1,405 strikeouts vs 419 free passes). They rank 14th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,210. They have surrendered 178 dingers and they allow 4.14 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have conceded 633 runs this year while having a team ERA of 3.76 (575 earned runs surrendered).

With 147 save situations, the Rays have earned 84 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. Tampa Bay has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 60 save opportunities and they have earned 40 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 170 times in high leverage situations and on 119 occasions with runners on. Tampa Bay relievers have an inherited score percentage of 28.1% out of 153 inherited runners. They are ranked 4th in the league holding a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 499 relievers onto the field for the season.

In 12,393 innings on the diamond, the Rays have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.2% (8th in professional baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 124 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (11th in professional baseball). The Rays have accrued 1,288 assists, 79 errors and have amassed 4,131 putouts this season.

Yarbrough (36-22 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.34 ERA while allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.69 and he has faced 2,039 hitters in his career. He has conceded a total of 236 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.186 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. In his MLB career, Yarbrough has surrendered 472 base knocks while tallying 399 strikeouts in 489 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-345)

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