Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 5/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals

Date: Saturday, May 1, 2021

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN/MASN2

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-132) Washington (+122)

Patrick Corbin and the Washington Nationals (9-12, 5th in NL East) host the Miami Marlins (11-13, 4th in NL East) at Nationals Park on Saturday. The Nationals open this matchup at +122 while the Marlins are coming in at -132. The O/U is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Paul Campbell and Patrick Corbin.

The Marlins have earned 35 doubles as a unit and have hit 21 balls out of the park. Miami has a slugging percentage of .366 and have been rung up 243 times, while drawing a walk on 79 occasions. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, which has them at 14th in the league. They have accounted for 97 RBI's in addition to 186 hits for the year, while their batting average is at .231. They have earned a total of 103 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .308.

The Marlins have compiled a team ERA of 3.50 on the campaign (8th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 211 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.89 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.12. Marlins pitchers have given up 25 long balls in addition to 91 runs (5th in baseball). They have walked 73 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.89 as a unit on the year.

Marlins bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 16 times and also have had 30 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have racked up 7 holds for the season (26th in MLB). The Marlins bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 36.4% and has come into the game in 18 save situations. They have recorded 4 saves on the season and have not converted 7 of 11 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 24 runners for the year with 37.5% of those runners crossed the plate. The Marlins have dispatched 91 relief pitchers to the hill for the year.

The Miami Marlins have 641 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 208 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding rate is at .984 which ranks 16th in MLB, and they have twisted 161 double plays. The Marlins have turned 72.6% of balls in play into outs out of 1,923 innings on the field, ranking them 4th in the majors.

Campbell has thrown 7 innings and has racked up 9 punch outs in his MLB career. His ERA is 8.22 (7 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 2.087. He has conceded 10 base knocks (11.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 6 free passes. Campbell (0-1 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.48 while he has faced 41 opposing batters in the majors.

Washington has accounted for 20 home runs on the year to go along with 73 runs batted in. They have hit 28 doubles, while taking a walk 55 times and scoring 75 runs. The Washington Nationals have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .313 in addition to a team batting average of .246 for the year. The Nationals have a SLG% of .378 and they score 3.57 runs per outing (28th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 177 occasions (29th in MLB) and have a total of 168 hits.

The Nationals have a team WHIP of 1.281 and have a FIP of 5.03 as a staff so far this year. They are sitting at 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 153. The Washington pitching staff have relinquished 97 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.45 (88 earned runs given up). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.39 (179 strikeouts vs 75 bases on balls). They have surrendered 34 home runs and they concede 4.90 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball).

Washington relievers have an inherited score percentage of 37.5% out of their 16 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 13 times in high leverage situations and on 9 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 11 save situations, the Nationals have tallied 7 holds and 1 blown save. They rank 9th in the league with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 71 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this year. Washington has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 4 save chances and they have earned 3 saves.

In 1,602 innings played, the Nationals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 72.7% (3rd in the majors). The Washington Nationals have twisted 14 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (9th in professional baseball). The Nationals have 159 assists, 10 errors and have a total of 534 putouts during this campaign.

Corbin (72-71 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.93 earned run average while allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.28 and he has faced 5,210 hitters in his MLB career. He has given up 537 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.293 and a FIP of 3.7. During his pro baseball career, Corbin has given up 1,221 hits while he has earned 1,209 strikeouts in 1,229 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (-132)

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