Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 4/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Monday, April 5, 2021

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-116) Chicago (-125)

Trevor Williams and the Chicago Cubs (1-1, 1st in NL Central) host the Milwaukee Brewers (1-1, 3rd in NL Central) at Wrigley Field on Monday. The Brewers open this matchup at -116 while the Cubs are priced at -125. The O/U opens at 9. The starting pitchers will be Brett Anderson and Trevor Williams.

Milwaukee had a slugging rate of .389 and were rung up 582 times last year, while drawing a walk on 221 occasions. They accrued 238 RBI's and 429 base knocks over the course of last season, while their team batting average was .223. The Brewers recorded 83 doubles as a unit and knocked 75 baseballs out of the park. They earned a total of 247 runs scored and held an on-base percentage of .313. As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers scored 4.1 runs/g, which put them at 27th in baseball.

Brewers pitchers gave up 67 long balls and also 264 total runs (20th in MLB). They walked 189 hitters and their FIP finished at 3.80 as a team for the prior year. They had a K/BB ratio of 3.25 and their pitching staff earned a collective WHIP of 1.23. The Brewers compiled a team ERA of 4.16 over the course of the prior season (11th in the league), and their staff struck out 614 batters. Brewers pitchers went to the mound with runners on in 47 games as well as 54 contests with high leverage. The bullpen notched 20 holds last year (28th in baseball). The Brewers bullpen recorded a save percentage of 63.6% and entered the game in 43 save situations. They accumulated 14 saves for the prior year and missed out on 8 of 22 save opportunities. The relievers inherited 77 base runners for the previous season with 36.4% of those players crossed the plate. The Brewers had dispatched 189 relief pitchers to the mound for the prior year.

Anderson had a FIP of 4.38 and his ERA+ was 109. He surrendered 22 earned runs over the course of last season with a K/BB ratio of 3.2. He conceded 9.6 H/9 and his WHIP was at 1.277. His ERA was 4.21 and he fanned 32 hitters. Brett Anderson conceded 50 base knocks in 47 innings he pitched throughout last season. Anderson has thrown 1,044 frames and has earned 714 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Anderson (63-65 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.93 and he has gone up against 4,419 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.06 (471 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.332. He has surrendered 1,115 base knocks (9.6 hits per 9 innings) with 276 free passes.

The Cubs recorded 82 two-baggers, while taking a walk 229 times as well as notching 265 runs. The Cubs held a team slugging percentage of .387 and they were earning 4.42 runs per outing (20th in baseball). Chicago accumulated 74 home runs over the course of last season and 248 RBIs. They were called out on strikes on 568 instances (5th in the league) and earned 422 hits. The Chicago Cubs accumulated a team on-base percentage of .318 as well as a team batting average of .220 in the previous season.

The Cubs held a team WHIP of 1.222 and were the owners of a FIP of 4.18 as a team for the prior year. They had a K/BB ratio of 2.87 (523 strikeouts against 182 walks). They finished at 22nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 451. They allowed 74 home runs and they surrender 4.17 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). The Chicago pitching staff conceded 240 runs last season while holding an ERA of 4.00 (230 earned runs relinquished). Chicago had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 47 save situations and they walked away with 16 saves. They were ranked 4th in the league holding a save percentage of 76.2%, and they sent 188 bullpen pitchers to the hill last year. Their relievers stepped onto the mound in 48 games with high leverage in addition to 54 games with base runners. Chicago relievers held an inherited score percentage of 38.0% of 90 inherited base runners. Finishing with 21 save opportunities, the Cubs accrued 26 holds in addition to 5 blown saves.

Williams had a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.3 with 49 total K's and he was the owner of an ERA+ of 74. He took the ball for 55.1 innings last year while surrendering 10.7 H/9 (hits per 9 innings). Williams gave up 66 total hits while he surrendered 38 earned runs (6.18 ERA). His WHIP was 1.57 and he had a FIP of 6.30 last season. Thus far in his career, Williams has allowed 538 base hits while he has accumulated 416 K's in 534 innings. He has allowed 263 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.337 and a FIP of 4.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.35 and he has faced 2,292 hitters in his pro baseball career. Williams (31-37 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.43 earned run average while allowing 9.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (-125)

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