Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 8/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Wednesday, August 11, 2021

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-370) Chicago (+260)

Corbin Burnes and the Milwaukee Brewers (66-46, 1st in NL Central) head to Wrigley Field on Wednesday where they'll meet the Chicago Cubs (52-61, 4th in NL Central). The odds on this contest have the Brewers coming in at -370 and the Cubs are at +260. The over/under opens at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Corbin Burnes and Jake Arrieta.

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Milwaukee has a slugging % of .388 and have been rung up 1,058 times, while taking a walk on 419 occasions. They have accounted for 483 runs batted in as well as 840 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate is .227. The Brewers have earned 164 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 135 balls out of the park. They have 506 runs scored and have an OBP of .315. As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are putting up 4.5 runs per game, which puts them at 15th in the league.

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Brewers pitchers have allowed 112 home runs in addition to 418 total runs (2nd in the league). They have walked 384 batters and their FIP is 3.70 as a unit on the campaign. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.91 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.17. The Brewers have a team ERA of 3.33 for the season (2nd in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,119 batters.

The Brewers have dispatched 363 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The relievers have inherited 94 base runners on the campaign with 35.1% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have compiled 28 saves this season and have missed out on 22 out of their 50 chances to save the game. The Brewers bullpen have recorded a save rate of 56.0% and has entered the game in 109 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 58 holds this year (13th in baseball). Brewers relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 71 times in addition to having 140 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Brewers have turned 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 9,027 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 4th in MLB. The Milwaukee Brewers have a total of 3,009 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 939 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which is 22nd in professional baseball, and they have twisted 707 double plays.

Burnes (18-10 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 2.89 and he has gone up against 1,076 batters in the majors. He has allowed 221 base hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 76 free passes. His earned run average is 3.57 (103 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.144. Burnes has taken the mound for 259 innings and has totaled 350 punch outs during his career.

Chicago is sitting with 141 home runs on the year as well as 450 RBIs. They have 152 doubles, while walking 354 times as well as earning 474 runs. The Chicago Cubs have a team on-base percentage of .305 in addition to a batting average of .227 this year. The Cubs have a team slugging percentage of .393 and they average 4.19 runs per game (21st in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,094 instances (2nd in baseball) and have earned a total of 835 hits.

The Chicago pitching staff have surrendered 524 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.32 (475 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 155 HR's and they allow 4.76 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball). The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.355 and have a FIP of 4.70 as a team on the year. Their K/BB ratio is 2.32 (977 strikeouts against 421 walks). They are currently ranked 17th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 921.

With 101 save situations, the Cubs have earned 62 holds and 9 blown saves. Chicago has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 38 save opportunities and they have walked away with 29 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 116 times in high leverage situations and on 114 occasions with base runners. Chicago relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 29.1% out of 182 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 1st in MLB with a save percentage of 76.3%, and they have dispatched 415 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

Out of their 8,913 innings played, the Cubs have a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (12th in professional baseball). The Chicago Cubs have turned 94 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (10th in professional baseball). The Cubs have recorded 1,101 assists, 61 errors and have notched a total of 2,971 putouts during this campaign.

During his MLB career, Arrieta has allowed 1,421 base knocks and he has 1,421 punch outs in 1,596 innings pitched. Arrieta (115-89 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.89 earned run average while conceding 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 690 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.244 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.52 and he has gone up against 6,671 opposing hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-370)

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