Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 6/10/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Thursday, June 10, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-132) Cincinnati (+105)

Great American Ball Park is the site where Luis Castillo and the Cincinnati Reds (28-30, 4th in NL Central) will take on the Milwaukee Brewers (34-26, 1st in NL Central) on Thursday. The Brewers open this contest at -132 while the Reds are coming in at +105. The total is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Freddy Peralta and Luis Castillo.

As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are notching 3.9 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have a total of 231 runs while holding a team OBP of .297. The Brewers have recorded 73 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 75 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 221 RBI's and 407 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average is sitting at .211. Milwaukee owns a slugging percentage of .372 and have struck out 581 times, while drawing a walk on 203 occasions.

Brewers pitchers have surrendered 70 home runs and also 235 total runs (9th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 196 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.82 as a unit for the year. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.15 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.15. The Brewers hold a team ERA of 3.65 on the year (9th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 617 hitters.

The Brewers have dispatched 185 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 49 runners this season and 40.8% of them crossed home plate. They have accumulated 17 saves for the season and have blown 11 out of their 28 save opportunities. The Brewers bullpen have recorded a save rate of 60.7% and has come into the game in 58 save situations. The relievers have tallied 30 holds for the year (13th in the league). Brewers pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 38 times as well as having 74 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Milwaukee Brewers have earned a total of 1,581 putouts on the campaign, as well as 466 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which ranks 19th in baseball, and they have turned 356 double plays. The Brewers have turned 71.4% of balls hit into play into outs in their 4,743 innings, which has them sitting at 6th in baseball.

Peralta (22-9 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.52 while going up against 1,077 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 187 base hits (6.6 hits per nine innings) with 116 free passes. His earned run average is 4.07 (116 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.181. Peralta has thrown 256 frames and has 350 punch outs during his career.

The Cincinnati Reds have earned a team on-base percentage of .326 in addition to a batting average of .249 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 491 occasions (24th in MLB) and have 483 base knocks. Cincinnati has a total of 82 home runs over the course of the season as well as 268 runs batted in. The Reds hold a slugging percentage of .429 and they tally 4.95 runs per outing (4th in baseball). They have tallied 95 two-baggers, while walking 189 times and racking up 282 runs.

The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.391 and have a FIP of 4.37 as a team on the season. They are currently ranked 15th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 463. The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 304 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 4.95 (279 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.28 (552 strikeouts against 242 walks). They have yielded 72 homers and they allow 5.40 runs per 9 innings (28th in MLB).

Sitting with 41 save situations, the Reds have compiled 18 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 22 save opportunities and they have come away with 14 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 57 times in high leverage situations and also on 69 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 44.7% of 103 inherited runners. They sit at 11th in the league holding a save rate of 63.6%, and they have sent 208 relievers to the mound so far this season.

In 4,563 innings on the field, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (22nd in baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have twisted 37 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .983 (20th in baseball). The Reds have recorded 504 assists, 36 errors and have earned 1,521 putouts this season.

During his career, Castillo has given up 496 hits while he has earned 631 strikeouts in 578 innings pitched. Castillo (34-41 career mark) holds a 3.92 earned run average while surrendering 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 252 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.218 and having a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.03 and he has gone up against 2,412 opposing batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-132)

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