Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets

Date: Monday, July 5, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-161) New York (+125)

Brandon Woodruff and the Milwaukee Brewers (51-33, 1st in NL Central) travel to Citi Field on Monday where they'll take on the New York Mets (42-36, 1st in NL East). The Mets open this contest at +125 while the Brewers are priced at -161. The over/under opens at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Brandon Woodruff and Corey Oswalt.

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Milwaukee has a slugging rate of .383 and have struck out 820 times, while taking a walk on 321 occasions. They have tallied 357 runs batted in as well as 612 hits this season, while their batting average comes in at .222. The Brewers have hit 122 doubles as a squad and have hit 101 balls out of the stadium. They have earned a total of 375 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .312. As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are putting up 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in MLB.

The Brewers hold a team earned run average of 3.53 on the year (6th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 861 hitters. Their K/BB ratio is 2.90 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.18. Brewers pitchers have given up 92 long balls and 326 total runs (7th in the league). They have walked 297 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.79 as a squad over the course of the season.

Brewers pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 52 times in addition to having 100 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 42 holds so far this season (11th in baseball). The Brewers relievers have a save percentage of 63.2% and has entered the game in 80 save situations. They have 24 saves for the year and have not converted 14 of their 38 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 65 base runners this year and 36.9% of them crossed the plate. The Brewers have sent 267 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

The Brewers have converted 71.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,768 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 5th in the majors. The Milwaukee Brewers are sitting with 2,256 putouts this season, as well as 689 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which is 11th in baseball, and have accumulated 504 double plays.

Woodruff has thrown 381 innings and is sitting with 432 punch outs during his MLB career. His ERA is 3.18 (135 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.043. He has surrendered 298 hits (7.0 hits per nine innings) with 100 free passes. Woodruff (26-14 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.18 while he has faced 1,529 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The New York Mets have tallied an OBP of .307 and a team batting average of .228 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 675 instances (24th in baseball) and have notched a total of 563 base hits. New York has accounted for 76 HRs so far this season as well as 270 runs batted in. The Mets have a team SLG% of .367 and they average 3.63 runs per game (29th in the league). They have 101 two-baggers, while taking a walk 240 times and notching 283 runs.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.153 and have a FIP of 3.50 as a team for the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.24 (732 strikeouts against 226 bases on balls). They sit at 1st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 535. They have surrendered 72 homers and they concede 3.83 runs per 9 innings (5th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have conceded 281 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 3.33 (244 earned runs yielded).

With 68 save situations, the Mets have accumulated 34 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers take the mound in 33 save opportunities and they have tallied 22 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 81 times in high leverage situations and on 62 occasions with runners on base. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 36.2% of 94 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 7th in the league with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 239 relievers to the mound this season.

The New York Mets have turned 59 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in baseball). The Mets have accrued 629 assists, 46 errors and have earned a total of 1,982 putouts over the course of the season. In 5,946 innings on the field, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (10th in MLB).

So far in his MLB career, Oswalt has allowed 100 hits and he has 67 strikeouts in 90 innings. Oswalt (4-4 career win-loss record) has a 5.86 earned run average while allowing 9.9 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 59 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.423 and having a FIP of 5.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.31 and he has gone up against 397 hitters so far in his career.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take New York (+125) and under 7.5 runs

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