Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, May 4, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+172) Philadelphia (-187)

Citizens Bank Park is the site where Aaron Nola and the Philadelphia Phillies (13-15, 3rd in NL East) will take on the Milwaukee Brewers (17-11, 1st in NL Central) on Tuesday. The Brewers open this contest at +172 while the Phillies are coming in at -187. The O/U has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Eric Lauer and Aaron Nola.

As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 4.0 runs per contest, which puts them at 19th in MLB. They have earned 113 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .301. The Brewers have earned 31 doubles as a unit and have knocked 35 balls out of the park. They have tallied 110 RBI's in addition to 201 hits this year, while their team batting average is .217. Milwaukee has a slugging rate of .373 and have been called out on strikes 287 times, while drawing a walk on 91 occasions.

Brewers pitchers have surrendered 31 home runs and 114 runs in total (13th in MLB). They have walked 102 opposing players and their FIP is 3.90 as a team for the year. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.78 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.19. The Brewers are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.69 so far this year (10th in the league), and they have struck out 284 batters.

The Brewers have sent 96 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 25 runners on the season and 32.0% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 8 saves this season and have not converted 3 out of their 11 save opportunities. The Brewers bullpen have recorded a save rate of 72.7% and has come into the game in 31 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 20 holds for the season (3rd in MLB). Brewers pitchers have come into the game with players on base 18 times as well as having 41 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Milwaukee Brewers have earned 762 putouts this season, in addition to 233 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which has them sitting 6th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 167 double plays. The Brewers have turned 71.8% of balls in play into outs out of 2,286 innings, which has them sitting at 6th in baseball.

Lauer has taken the ball for 277 frames and has tallied 253 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.67 (144 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.491. He has given up 306 base knocks (9.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 108 walks. Lauer (15-19 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.41 while he has faced 1,236 batters during his time in the major leagues.

Philadelphia has recorded 29 long balls for the year to go along with 102 RBIs. They have 37 two-baggers, while walking 86 times and scoring 108 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .305 in addition to a team batting average of .232 for the season. The Phillies have a SLG% of .376 and they earn 3.86 runs per outing (25th in the league). They have struck out on 275 occasions (7th in MLB) and have accounted for 210 base hits.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 125 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.44 (120 earned runs conceded). They have relinquished 37 long balls and they allow 4.63 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.276 in addition to having a FIP of 4.12 as a team for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.31 (248 strikeouts vs 75 bases on balls). They sit at 25th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 235.

Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 13 save opportunities and they have converted 7 saves. They rank 22nd in baseball with a save percentage of 53.8%, and they have sent 84 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 41 times in high leverage situations and also on 22 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 51.4% out of 35 inherited base runners. With 23 save situations, the Phillies have accrued 10 holds and also 6 blown saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 24 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (12th in pro baseball). The Phillies have accrued 230 assists, 15 errors and have notched a total of 729 putouts for the season. Out of their 2,187 innings on the field, the Phillies are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.5% (23rd in MLB).

In his career, Nola has allowed 754 base hits while he has earned 961 K's in 880 frames. Nola (60-41 career record) holds a 3.46 earned run average while giving up 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 338 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.155 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio is 3.65 and he has gone up against 3,617 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+172)

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